Fantasy Golf: The Sentry Preview

In Monday's FGR 2024 Year in Review, I wrote about my recent relatively peaceful and non-confrontational stretch of living. It took about six hours from the time I posted it and a few questionable decisions but we can go ahead and reset the incident board in the warehouse back to zero. My resolution for 2025 is to never walk into a bar with the following swing thought: "well I've got nothing important to do tomorrow." Onward and upward. 

BLUESKY POST OF THE WEEK

I don't really know about the point being made here regarding AI but the commercial he uses to make it is an all-time great.

You can tell AI is bullshit because all the people in the ads have cool jobs that don't exist. Useful technology looks like this www.youtube.com/watch?v=AGwi...

[image or embed]

— Bobby Big Wheel (@kleinman.bsky.social) December 21, 2024 at 8:59 PM

GOLF ANALYSIS

I've traditionally been a bit cautious with this pick which is frankly stupid considering that the one time I went big with Jon Rahm in 2023, he won it. With that in mind, I like Justin Thomas this week as he's riding-in on the perfect wave of: (1) solid form (finished 2nd in his last real start), (2) insanely good track record here (including two wins) and something to prove as he is becoming a bit of the forgotten man. It's his own fault for playing like crap but the fact is that he's too good to be sitting behind Russell Henley and Billy Horschel in the rankings. No offense to those guys.

You'll be hearing a lot from the firm of Bhatia, Greyserman and Dunlap on this site in 2025 because I'm expecting at least five or six wins from them and some noise in the majors. Especially Greyserman who has quietly been one of the best and most consistent players in the world since the U.S. Open. 

With that in mind, here is what I would recommend:  

Place	Player	Odds
Winner	Sahith Theegala	+2500
Top 5	Akshay Bhatia	+500
Top 5	Max Greyserman	+600
Top 10	Will Zalatoris	+360
Top 10	Nick Dunlap	+400

If you want to take the semi-cautious route, Sahith Theegala finished runner-up here last year and has the smooth big hitting Ernie Els style that plays at Kapalua. But if you're saving him for Phoenix, I respect that. 

One and Done Pick: Justin Thomas

Someone please tell him the FGR
pick isn't necessarily a curse anymore.

Other Guy I'd Pick: Sahith Theegala 

Sleeper Pick: Nick Dunlap

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Collin Morikawa	$10,100
Justin Thomas	$9,700
Sungjae Im	$9,500
Akshay Bhatia	$8,900
Sahith Theegala	$8,600
Max Greyserman	$8,000
Davis Thompson	$7,900
Taylor Pendrith	$7,500
Nick Dunlap	$7,200
Will Zalatoris	$6,900

Good fucking riddance to 2024. I'm rolling into 2025 with renewed optimism, a reconstructed putting stroke and better hip rotation. 

                                        THE YEAR 2024 MEMORIAL

                                 HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART

Not mentioned above but also worthy of your attention are Collin Morikawa and, to a far lesser extent, Max Homa who have both clearly figured-out how to play this joint. Also worth noting those who haven't. I'm looking at you Viktor.  

	DK PRICE	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
Scottie Scheffler (Out)	$11,900	T5	T7	DNP	T13	DNP
Xander Schauffele	$11,000	T10	W/D	12th	T5	T2
Rory McIlroy (Out)	$10,500	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Collin Morikawa	$10,100	T5	2nd	T5	T7	T7
Patrick Cantlay	$9,900	T12	T16	4th	T13	4th
Ludvig Aberg	$9,800	T47	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Justin Thomas	$9,700	DNP	T25	T5	3rd	1st
Hideki Matsuyama	$9,600	58th	T21	T13	T41	DNP
Sungjae Im	$9,500	T5	T13	T8	T5	DNP
Viktor Hovland	$9,300	T22	T18	T30	T31	DNP
T. Fleetwood (Out)	$9,200	T47	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Tony Finau	$9,100	T38	T7	T19	T31	DNP
Sam Burns	$9,000	T33	32nd	T19	DNP	DNP
Akshay Bhatia	$8,900	T14	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Wyndham Clark	$8,800	T29	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Corey Conners	$8,700	T33	T18	DNP	DNP	T19
Sahith Theegala	$8,600	2nd	33rd	DNP	DNP	DNP
Shane Lowry (Out)	$8,500	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Byeong Hun An	$8,400	4th	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Russell Henley	$8,300	T52	T30	DNP	DNP	DNP
Robert Macintyre	$8,200	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Adam Scott	$8,100	DNP	29th	DNP	DNP	DNP
Max Greyserman	$8,000	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Davis Thompson	$7,900	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Si Woo Kim	$7,800	T25	DNP	T23	DNP	DNP
Cameron Young	$7,700	T33	T13	DNP	DNP	DNP
Jason Day	$7,600	T10	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
J.T. Poston	$7,600	T5	T21	DNP	DNP	T11
Keegan Bradley	$7,500	T45	34th	DNP	DNP	DNP
Maverick McNealy	$7,500	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Taylor Pendrith	$7,500	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Brian Harman	$7,400	T5	T16	DNP	DNP	DNP
Alex Noren	$7,400	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
C. Bezuidenhout	$7,300	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Jake Knapp	$7,300	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Matt Fitzpatrick	$7,200	T14	T7	DNP	DNP	DNP
Billy Horschel	$7,200	DNP	T30	T23	T24	DNP
Nick Dunlap	$7,200	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Max Homa	$7,100	T14	T3	T15	DNP	T25
Austin Eckroat	$7,100	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Denny McCarthy	$7,000	T43	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Chris Kirk	$7,000	1st	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Eric Cole	$6,900	T14	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Will Zalatoris	$6,900	DNP	T11	DNP	DNP	DNP
Sepp Straka	$6,800	T12	T21	DNP	DNP	DNP
Harry Hall	$6,800	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Aaron Rai	$6,700	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Thomas Detry	$6,700	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Tom Hoge	$6,600	T38	T3	DNP	DNP	DNP
Stephan Jaeger	$6,600	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Cam Davis	$6,500	T52	DNP	T10	DNP	DNP
Nico Echavarria	$6,500	T25	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Matt McCarty	$6,400	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Nick Taylor	$6,300	T52	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Kevin Yu	$6,300	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Adam Hadwin	$6,200	T14	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Patton Kizzire	$6,200	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Davis Riley	$6,100	T52	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Matthieu Pavon	$6,100	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Chris Gotterup	$6,000	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Bryce Garnett	$6,000	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Peter Malnati	$6,000	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Rafael Campos	$6,000	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP

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