Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Fantasy Golf: The Tour Championship Preview

This week's late preview excuse is the fact that I attended the Eagles concert last night along with about 20,000 fellow inhabitants of the assisted living on-deck circle. (I'm actually only sitting in the dugout waiting to pinch-hit but the joke worked better with on-deck circle . . . to the extent that it worked at all). Anyway, the place reeked of Aqua Velva, medical marijuana and Grecian Formula 45 and no more than 23% of the crowd was able to stand-up at any one time. Even when they started playing Life in the Fast Lane which made for the most mismatched song/audience combination since the last time Rod Stewart performed Tonight's the Night for a "live" audience.  

I will, however, hand it to the Eagles because once you get past Don Henley's raging ego and their slew of sappy ballads, they put on a great fucking show for a bunch of geezers. Vince Gill (doing his best Higgins from Ted Lasso impression) joined them to effectively create a wall of four to six guitars at the front of the stage and they just churned-out one hit after another that made you smile. Even when Joe Walsh's vocals on Life's Been Good fell about five seconds behind the beat, the crowd picked him up to the point where it didn't matter because everyone there was just so happy to be alive. At least for now.      

TWEET OF THE WEEK

By this logic, I should have more friends. 


GOLF ANALYSIS FROM THE NEW TORNADO ALLEY*

This will be the third year of what I like to call the "Shit Format" (actually I just made that up) and let's be honest, it sucks for wagering. The DraftKings salaries are all out of whack and if you saved a stud like Xander Schauffele or Rory McIlroy, you now have to watch them start 8 shots back. 

I'm down to some serious scraps. Saving Collin Morikawa seemed like a brilliant maneuver a little over a month ago but since the Olympics he's been on a downward spiraling run of T26 - MC - T63. My other options are basically Sam Burns and Jason Kokrak and by basically I mean they are my other options. You can add to my woe the fact that I just dropped-out of first place in this league I am desperate to win thanks to Brooksie's choke job at Caves Valley. Wait, can I get thrown-out of my own blog just for writing that? 

I'm going to say I'm picking Sam Burns and maybe I am but maybe I'm not (wink wink nudge nudge). If I had access to the entire Tour Championship buffet, I'd go with either Jon Rahm or Justin Thomas and Rory would be my darkhorse but 8 shots? Fuck me.

As usual I like Scottie Scheffler to exceed expectations and you know the real Brooksie would like nothing more than to make-up those five shots on his wannabe nemesis so he's a solid bet. Daniel Berger and Billy Horschel as deep sleepers are total flyers but, if this tournament got what it actually deserved, Stewart Cink would have an out of potato body experience and walk away with the $15M.

One and Done Pick: Sam Burns
Am I actually picking
this guy? Supposebly . . .

Other Guy I'd Pick: Jon Rahm

Sleeper Pick: Scottie Scheffler 

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Jon Rahm

$13,000

Justin Thomas

$11,000

Rory McIlroy

$9,300

Xander Schauffele

$8,900

Sam Burns

$8,500

Brooks Koepka

$7,800

Sungjae Im

$7,300

Scottie Scheffler

$6,800

Daniel Berger

$5,500

Billy Horschel

$5,100


I'm not sure how much value you can derive from 2019 and 2020 because they were both played using the Shit Format but hey, I'm just here to provide the information so you can do you.

                               HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART
                           FOR THOSE WHO TRIED TO HIT THE HIGH 
                        NOTE ON "TAKE IT TO THE LIMIT" LAST NIGHT

 

DK Price

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

Patrick Cantlay

$13,400

DNP

T21

T21

T20

DNP

Jon Rahm

$13,000

4th

T12

T11

T7

DNP

Bryson DeChambeau

$12,300

22nd

T12

19th

DNP

DNP

Tony Finau

$11,800

17th

7th

T15

T7

DNP

Justin Thomas

$11,000

T2

T3

T7

2nd

T6

Dustin Johnson

$10,700

1st

T29

3rd

T17

T6

Jordan Spieth

$10,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

T7

T17

Cameron Smith

$10,100

T24

DNP

20th

DNP

DNP

Abraham Ancer

$9,600

T18

T21

DNP

DNP

DNP

Rory McIlroy

$9,300

T8

1st

T7

DNP

1st

Xander Schauffele

$8,900

T2

2nd

T7

1st

DNP

Harris English

$8,700

T12

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Sam Burns

$8,500

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Collin Morikawa

$8,300

6th

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Viktor Hovland

$8,000

T20

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Brooks Koepka

$7,800

DNP

T3

26th

6th

DNP

Louis Oosthuizen

$7,600

DNP

T21

DNP

DNP

DNP

Sunjae Im

$7,300

T11

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Scottie Scheffler

$6,800

5th

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jason Kokrak

$6,600

DNP

14th

DNP

DNP

DNP

Hideki Matsuyama

$6,400

T15

T9

T4

T26

5th

Corey Conners

$6,200

DNP

T26

DNP

DNP

DNP

Kevin Na

$6,000

T27

DNP

25th

DNP

29th

Daniel Berger

$5,800

T15

DNP

DNP

DNP

T15

Patrick Reed

$5,700

T8

T9

28th

T13

T24

Joaquin Niemann

$5,600

T27

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Sergio Garcia

$5,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

T10

DNP

Stewart Cink

$5,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Billy Horschel

$5,100

30th

DNP

2nd

DNP

DNP

Erik van Rooyen

$5,000

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP


Footnote

* I'm writing this under a tornado watch. Just outside of Baltimore. I thought when I agreed to live in this hellhole that there were to be no tornadoes, earthquakes or plagues. None of this was covered in the fucking brochure. 

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com