Fantasy Golf: The 3M Open Preview

If you want to see a good example of bad gambling course management, consider that I won $8 last week despite recommending the following players to the world: Brian Harman (1st), Rory McIlroy (T6), Tommy Fleetwood (T10), Viktor Hovland (T13), Adam Scott (T33) and Min Woo Lee (T41). Even my two sleepers made the cut (Thomas Pieters and Robert MacIntyre) despite sliding all the way to T71 by the end. Oh to be able to go back to that moment when I thought "Sepp Straka? . . . nahhhhh." 

The killer was not only swapping Dustin Johnson in for Cameron Young at the last minute, but then mysteriously making him the foundation for nearly every wager. What can I say? I'm a sucker for D.J. and have been since he almost ran over me in a golf cart at Congressional in 2011. At least I limited my ill-fated LIV Golf strategy to just him and Thomas Pieters as none of those clowns finished higher than Henrik Stenson at T13. 

At least I was correct in warning you off Scottie Scheffler and Rickie Fowler. Sure they both finished T23 but for the guys who went off as somewhere around the 1st and 9th favorites, that's like every book report I wrote in high school. Simply not good enough.   

As painful as it was to watch, Rory's bazillionth top ten in a major means that the current FGR streak is a very solid Win, Win, T4, T6 and T6. The lesson as always is not to fuck with golf prognosticators from a small town. 

TWEET OF THE WEEK

I was going to go with one about the writer/actor strikes but didn't feel like getting labeled as a socialist for supporting the people who actually create the content that generates television and movie revenue so let's tackle the less polarizing issue of teaching that slavery was really just a form of super immersive vocational training with long hours and low wages.  

Don't worry. I didn't unlearn how to embed Tweets but this one came with a video of a guy currently campaigning for most horrible human being on Earth and I don't want his ghoulish mug tarnishing my website.

GOLF ANALYSIS

We pulled together a limited chart to show the handful of guys who've regularly made the trip to Blaine, Minnesota and experienced some success. That short list would include past champion Tony Finau along with Emiliano Grillo, Sungjae Im and Adam Hadwin. Not surprisingly, we've got three of those four in our line-up. 

Lucas Glover and Doug Ghim feel like educated picks but the rest are pretty much hunches. Sahith Theegala and Denny McCarthy are probably the two best players in the world without a PGA Tour win and, since only one of them is playing this week, we're going with that guy. 

One and Done Pick: Emiliano Grillo

Don't fuck-up this run
for us Emiliano!!!

Other Guy I'd Pick: Tony Finau

Sleeper Pick: Chesson Hadley

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Tony Finau	$10,600
Emiliano Grillo	$9,700
Ludvig Aberg	$9,400
Adam Hadwin	$8,900
Sahith Theegala	$8,700
Lucas Glover	$8,200
Eric Cole	$7,800
Doug Ghim	$7,400
K.H. Lee	$7,300
Chesson Hadley	$6,900

I went on a brief Ryan Gosling binge this week with a long overdue viewing of The Nice Guys which was outstanding and then I took my daughter to see Barbie which I would say landed somewhere near the intersection of clever, thought provoking and brilliant. As for Gosling, he'll probably never top Drive. If you haven't seen it, do yourself a favor. It's either that or the Knife Guys.

                                    THE MOJO DOJO CASA HOUSE

                               HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART

Based on the small sample size below, I could also recommend J.T. Poston and the records of a couple Cams standout as in Davis and Champ. No clue why Cameron Young is the DraftKings favorite but we just go where we're told.

	DK Price	2022	2021	2020	2019
Cameron Young	$10,900	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Tony Finau	$10,600	1st	T28	T3	T23
Sungjae Im	$10,300	T2	DNP	DNP	T15
Hideki Matsuyama	$10,000	W/D	DNP	DNP	T7
Emiliano Grillo	$9,700	T2	MC	T3	DNP
Sepp Straka	$9,500	DNP	MC	T18	MC
Ludvig Aberg	$9,400	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Justin Thomas	$9,300	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Gary Woodland	$9,200	DNP	T11	DNP	DNP
Stephen Jaeger	$9,100	MC	DNP	DNP	T66
Cam Davis	$9,000	T16	T28	T12	MC
Adam Hadwin	$8,900	T38	T6	DNP	4th
J.J. Spaun	$8,800	DNP	MC	MC	T66
Sahith Theegala	$8,700	MC	DNP	MC	DNP
Keith Mitchell	$8,600	DNP	5th	MC	T66
Patrick Rodgers	$8,500	DNP	T39	T32	DNP
J.T. Poston	$8,400	T11	T28	DNP	DNP
Lucas Glover	$8,200	MC	DNP	MC	T7
Beau Hossler	$8,000	MC	T49	MC	T34
Aaron Rai	$7,900	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Eric Cole	$7,800	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Alex Noren	$7,700	DNP	DNP	T3	DNP
Cameron Champ	$7,600	T16	1st	DNP	MC
Ryan Fox	$7,600	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
C. Bezuidenhout	$7,500	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Matt Kuchar	$7,500	DNP	MC	DNP	DNP
Tom Hoge	$7,500	T4	MC	T46	T23
Doug Ghim	$7,400	T16	MC	T18	DNP
Chez Reavie	$7,300	T49	T11	DNP	DNP
K.H. Lee	$7,300	DNP	T6	66th	MC
Billy Horschel	$7,100	DNP	DNP	DNP	DNP
Kevin Streelman	$7,000	DNP	DNP	DNP	T34
Mackenzie Hughes	$7,000	DNP	DNP	DNP	T66
Chesson Hadley	$6,900	10th	T58	MC	MC
Joel Dahmen	$6,800	DNP	T67	DNP	DNP

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