Tuesday, April 25, 2023

Fantasy Golf: The Mexico Open Preview

I blamed last week's subpar golf analysis on a four day trip to New Orleans that required a recovery period of equal duration. This week's scapegoat is a twenty-four hour sprint to South Carolina where I: (a) rented a car from a drunk lady with a tattoo on her upper left boob who announced to everyone at the rental car counter that she is exactly three days younger than me despite looking like she may have witnessed the discovery of fire, (b) shot a very loud rifle aimlessly into the woods, (c) recklessly drove an all terrain vehicle in the dark, and (d) stayed-up until nearly dawn discussing the meaning of life or lack thereof.

After a few hours of fitful rest on a leather couch because the guy in the bed next to the one that was supposed to be mine snored louder than gravel in a Nutribullet, I gathered myself and: (a) brushed twenty-one hours of hard living off my teeth, (b) pounded two cups of coffee like I was drinking from the Holy Grail, (c) flummoxed the staff at a southern airport Dunkin' Donuts by ordering a smoothie ("anyone know how to make this mutherfucker a damn smoothie?"), and (d) subjected everyone on the plane to a cologne scent that could best be described as Eau de Nick Nolte's Mugshot

Finally, upon my arrival in Baltimore, I: (a) showered for so long that you would've thought I just dropped the winning pass in the Super Bowl, (b) burned a frozen pizza, (c) ate three slices of said pizza, and (d) watched seven hours of sports through one barely cracked eyelid. It was a good run.

TWEET OF THE WEEK

If you know this movie (and you absolutely need to know this movie if you don't already), then you know this picture is from the scene that made me, you and Jack Burton all think "holy shit what have I gotten myself into here?!?!" The butt between John Carpenter's fingers is just the icing on top.


GOLF ANALYSIS

Last week was a bit of a Golden Corral buffet as four of our top ten picks finished T11 or higher (chocolate fountain!) while the other six just said fuck it and skipped the weekend (the seafood). Ahhh gambling. It's like your friend from high school who you didn't figure-out was a sociopath until one night too late. 

Cue the Mexico Open which features a field of Jon Rahm, Tony Finau and about 150 other guys that even half the people reading this godforsaken golf blog probably haven't even heard of (yes Gary Woodland we see you over there in your ridiculous Wilson hat). If this field was any weaker, it would be season 3 of Ted Lasso. Yeah that's right. I said it.

Last year was the inaugural for this event and it couldn't have gone any chalkier with Rahm winning and Finau finishing tied with two others for 2nd. Could that happen again this year? Sure. The Masters champ is back to defend his title after a week of rest and he's not the type to dog it as evidenced by his T15 at the RBC Heritage. If you want to go that safe, prudent and logical route, fine, but that's not how we roll around here. 

Not to mention, we need an off the board game changing pick to break this run of mediocrity we've been on since, well, January. And our search for value has yielded Ben Martin. Yes that Ben Martin who used to be somewhere between above-average and pretty good about eight years ago and appears to have almost returned to that level now. I mean he costs $8,600 on DraftKings so this pick isn't completely ridiculous. Right?

Speaking of DraftKings, this tournament would have shattered the old Tringale Rule if he was in the field and reminds me that we're still looking for someone to assume that all too important role here at the FGR. Maybe Wyndham Clark is our guy. We'll keep an eye on him this week and see if he has what it takes. Let's just say that carrying a lead into the final round and having the announcers over extol the virtues of his game before falling back to a tie for 6th would go a long way in the eyes of the judges. 

One and Done Pick: Ben Martin
This could literally be any golfer 
but it's really Ben Martin. (Actually
it's not) . . . but in reality, it is.

Other Guy I'd Pick: Wyndham Clark

Sleeper Pick: Sean O'Hair 

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Tony Finau

$10,700

Wyndham Clark

$9,700

Byeong Hun An

$9,100

Ben Martin

$8,600

Stephan Jaeger

$8,200

Robby Shelton

$8,000

Lanto Griffin

$7,500

Dylan Wu

$7,500

Kevin Chappell

$7,100

Sean O'Hair

$7,000


Email the Fantasy Golf Report here.

Wednesday, April 19, 2023

Fantasy Golf: Zurich Classic Preview

I'm limping into this one as I come-off a three plus day "Dad's Weekend" with my son's fraternity in New Orleans (oh the irony). So there will be no historical performance chart this week as the time normally spent staring blankly at a spreadsheet while plugging-in tournament results was instead spent staring blankly at the wall of my office. Not that arming you with the knowledge that half the field has never played this event before would have been much use. 

For those who haven't participated in a back to school event such as this, here is a brief summary of the itinerary:

Thursday

There were no formal obligations on Thursday so my son blew me off all day until it was time for me to buy him dinner at a Thai restaurant because why not start off with some authentic Cajun Tom Yum Goong. I assumed that "Goong" was Thai for "creole" but I looked it up and it's not. Turns-out it means "Goong." 

Friday

The official activities kicked-off at Tulane's favorite backyard booze stop called "The Boot." On its website, it describes itself as the destination "where your college career begins and ends." If that sounds kind of morbid, welcome to New Orleans. From there we took a keg to "The Fly" which is the waterfront part of Audubon Park. Ask ten different Tulane students why it's called "The Fly" and you'll probably get ten different answers . . . all of them wrong.  

Our next stop was "Cooter Brown's" which was exactly the kind of place you'd expect from the name. Fortunately it was right around the corner from my accommodations so I was able to have a nasty Po Boy and a few more beers before calling it a night at a somewhat reasonable hour. Count that as my last good decision made until skipping the mimosa at brunch on Sunday.

Saturday

Day 2 kicked off with this exchange at 10:00 a.m.:

Son:    Hey are you about ready? This beer pong tournament has a "hard start" at 11:00.

Me:      I thought we were blowing that off.

Son:     No.

So I rallied and apparently so did my competition because they showed-up in force . . . about twenty-five dads. Many of them were dressed to play golf and there were multiple Augusta logos which at least made it easy to identify the guys to avoid. (I kid because I love but really, some of the outfits were very golfy). 

After winning our first game, we were locked in a tight battle that was down to the last two cups on each side when the rain came at which point my son and president of this shit show told me that "we have no Plan B." So we kept playing until we were the last game out there trying to throw ping pong balls into plastic cups through a stiff crosswind. It was the most fun I've had in a long time.

Eventually we had to take shelter in the basement of the frat house where you could literally see the staph infections doing the Watusi on the tile floor. And here is a rapid fire recount of how the rest of the night went:
  • Shot pool at a bar called "Bruno's" with two guys who drive for 84 Lumber and also shot pool like their cues were 2x4's purchased from 84 Lumber.
  • Ate a giant plate of food at a place aptly named "Central City BBQ" because they had very good barbecue and they were near the city. Left my credit card there. Bad sign at 7:00 p.m.
  • Went to a true dive bar called "Snake and Jake's Christmas Club Lounge" where I bought a Coke for a homeless man and, according to later reports, befriended multiple strangers. 
  • Returned to "Bruno's" where we crossed paths with our beer pong foes. In one of my proudest moments as a father, my son and his counterpart cleared a long table and recreated the end of the game. In front of an enthusiastic crowd, my son buried the winning shot which advanced us to the quarterfinals now scheduled for Parents' Weekend in the fall (insert absurd face emoji).
  • A frat brother miraculously returned my credit card.
Recognizing that I had nothing left to accomplish other than something embarrassing, life threatening or both, I exited "Bruno's" and pleasantly discovered that I was only a half mile from home. I somehow managed the perilous trek over New Orleans' earthquake in-progress style sidewalks and made it back to my place. 

Three days later and, as noted above, I'm still in recovery mode. Unfortunately this week's attention to the golf tournament (or lack thereof) will reflect that but everything has a price.   

TWEET OF THE WEEK

Feels like a good week to go with something light and fun in this spot.


GOLF ANALYSIS

Let's not over analyze this section entitled "Golf Analysis." A good team usually wins this thing because surprisingly, when you put two of the best players in the world on a team together, they good. Our pick Billy Horschel comes into this year on a run of win, T13, T4, 2nd and he's paired with Sam Burns for the third year in a row. No-brainer.

For the rest of the picks we've tried to go with guys who come across as the types who like to have a good time and would embrace both the format and the aforementioned local lifestyle. Especially in the cases of misters Hubbard and Higgs who I almost stayed down there to befriend at Snake and Jake's. Maybe next year.  

Billy pictured here rocking the 
official uniform of the mid 50's
beer pong contestant.
One and Done Pick: Billy Horschel

Other Guy I'd Pick: Si Woo Kim

Sleeper Pick: Harry Higgs 

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Keith Mitchell

$10,400

Si Woo Kim

$9,700

Billy Horschel

$9,500

Matthew NeSmith

$8,700

Lee Hodges

$8,000

Harry Hall

$7,600

Scott Stallings

$7,400

Mark Hubbard

$7,200

Harry Higgs

$7,100

Kevin Chappell

$6,900

Email the Fantasy Golf Report here.

Wednesday, April 12, 2023

Fantasy Golf: The RBC Heritage Preview

This is going to sound weird because it was in fact weird but I kind of missed this year's Masters, a fact that becomes more evident as I sit here re-watching the final round thinking "I don't remember that at all." But to quote Joliet Jake Blues, "IT WASN'T MY FAULT!" Well at least not entirely.

On Thursday morning I was honestly too jacked-up to enjoy it. I had it on at work just like everyone else but I was like a dog that just got a bone that he was so worried about losing that he just wanted to bury it. Then in the afternoon my daughter had a badminton match (yes really) and by the time that was over, so was the golf. I caught-up enough to watch my pick Jordan Spieth hit a moronic shot from the pine straw on 13 into Rae's Creek but that's all I really remember.

I don't know what the hell happened on Friday. I was in it tracking Spieth but then they showed the guy with the airhorn so I took the dog for a walk. By the time I got back, Spieth had somehow finished, pine trees were rebelling against their landscaper overlords and the TV recordings were all screwed-up so I had no idea what was going on. I think I cracked a bottle of wine at that point and watched Jim Halpert try to thwart a Russian plot to start WWIII . . . again.

"A nap and a donut for dinner?"
Saturday was setup perfectly. I had an 11:30 a.m. tee time and with the weather delays down south, that would mean I'd get the full third round when I was done. Nope. Washout. I think I asked five different people to confirm that there would in fact be no more golf and even then I found myself standing there in a state of somewhat slack-jawed disbelief. After a few post-round beverages, I finally gave-up hope, went home, ate a donut and fell asleep for two hours. When I woke-up, I was pretty sure Dr. Rick was going to be waiting there to give me shit.

On Sunday I played at 9:00 a.m. and treated myself to a few transgender beers along the way. I got home with my chicken club sandwich and onion rings just as the leaders were getting ready to tee off. Two and a half hours later I woke-up to them playing Amen Corner but by then you could sense that the worm had already turned. At least that's what I was sensing in my stupefied state. I literally felt like Brooks Koepka's body language.

And as if my whole Masters viewing experience hadn't been quagmired enough by that point, someone had previously agreed to a phone call with his daughter's soccer coach at 6:30 p.m. during which said coach spoke continuously for almost 45 minutes. About soccer. During the final round  Masters. Fortunately he asked me no questions because the responses would have been "I'm sorry, what was the question?"

By the time Rahm putted-out on 18, I was a bit defeated and deflated. It turns-out I didn't miss much as Brooks drifted away from contention like a doomed castaway over the span of four hours and no one really made a charge other than Phil but we all knew that -8 wasn't going to get it done. I had such high hopes. There's always next year. Pffft.

TWEET OF THE WEEK

Apparently there is a clinical term for what I do anytime someone starts talking to me at a party about their kids or their job or just about anything besides sports and movies. 


GOLF ANALYSIS

Despite the fact that the PGA Tour decided to stick a designated event at an above-average tournament the week after the Masters, we're going to avoid the shiny new players and stick close to the usual Harbour Town strategy. It's probably a terrible idea but not really sure how to evaluate the likes of Rahm, Scheffler and Homa on a course they never play against guys who play it well all of the time.

So that makes Patrick Cantlay an obvious pick assuming he finishes playing the 16th hole at Augusta in time to make it to Hilton Head. Unfortunately, I used Cantlay at that Match Play so the backup plan is Cameron Young who is still due for his first win and finished T3 here last year and T7 last week. Shane Lowry also finished T3 last year and played well at the Masters. I mean they're really almost the same guy when you get down to it.  

The rest of the picks are your who's who of straight hitting consistent players embodied by Corey Conners and Matt Kuchar. You're smart. You get the idea. 

One and Done Pick: Cameron Young
Unfrozen Caveman Golfer!

Other Guy I'd Pick: Shane Lowry

Sleeper Pick: Tyler Duncan

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Patrick Cantlay

$10,300

Cameron Young

$9,600

Sungjae Im

$8,600

Shane Lowry

$8,300

Tyrrell Hatton

$8,200

Corey Conners

$7,800

Matt Kuchar

$7,700

J.T. Poston

$7,300

Adam Svensson

$7,000

Tyler Duncan

$6,800


As I prepare to embark on a four day trip to visit my son in New Orleans for his fraternity's "celebration" of their dads paid for by their dads, we name this week's historical performance chart in honor of the inevitable casualties. 

                                THE FGR'S LIVER AND DIGNITY MEMORIAL
                                    HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART

J.T. Poston got the slight nod over Webb Simpson who used to be one of my regulars here based on his sparkling past performance. Webb has shown signs of life lately but the last time I fell for that was at the Players where he missed the cut. You can fool me but once Webb! 

 

DK Price

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

Jon Rahm

$11,100

DNP

DNP

T33

DNP

DNP

Scottie Scheffler

$11,000

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jordan Spieth

$10,400

1st

DNP

T68

T54

DNP

Patrick Cantlay

$10,300

2nd

MC

DNP

T3

T7

Collin Morikawa

$10,000

T26

T7

T64

DNP

DNP

Viktor Hovland

$9,800

DNP

DNP

T21

DNP

DNP

Cameron Young

$9,600

T3

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Tony Finau

$9,400

DNP

DNP

T33

DNP

DNP

Xander Schauffele

$9,300

DNP

DNP

T64

T63

T32

Max Homa

$9,100

DNP

DNP

T41

DNP

DNP

Justin Thomas

$8,900

T35

DNP

T8

DNP

DNP

Sam Burns

$8,700

DNP

T39

MC

9th

DNP

Sungjae Im

$8,600

T21

T13

MC

MC

DNP

Tom Kim

$8,500

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Matt Fitzpatrick

$8,400

MC

T4

T14

T39

T14

Shane Lowry

$8,300

T3

T9

MC

T3

DNP

Tyrrell Hatton

$8,200

T26

T39

T3

DNP

MC

Sahith Theegala

$8,000

T70

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Keegan Bradley

$7,900

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Corey Conners

$7,800

T12

T4

T21

MC

MC

Russell Henley

$7,800

MC

T9

MC

MC

DNP

Justin Rose

$7,700

DNP

DNP

T14

DNP

DNP

Matt Kuchar

$7,700

T3

T18

T41

2nd

T23

Rickie Fowler

$7,600

MC

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Si Woo Kim

$7,600

T42

T33

MC

MC

2nd

Wyndham Clark

$7,600

T35

64th

T64

T54

DNP

Chris Kirk

$7,500

MC

T7

DNP

MC

T55

Gary Woodland

$7,500

DNP

DNP

T62

DNP

DNP

Keith Mitchell

$7,500

DNP

DNP

MC

MC

T55

Taylor Montgomery

$7,500

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Adam Scott

$7,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Min Woo Lee

$7,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Taylor Moore

$7,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Tom Hoge

$7,400

MC

T25

MC

MC

T55

Webb Simpson

$7,400

T59

T9

1st

T16

T5

Adam Hadwin

$7,300

T26

MC

T41

T48

DNP

Billy Horschel

$7,300

T21

T25

MC

T45

T5

Brian Harman

$7,300

T35

T13

T28

MC

T23

J.T. Poston

$7,300

T3

MC

T8

T6

DNP

Matt Wallace

$7,300

DNP

T18

T64

MC

DNP

Seamus Power

$7,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

T6

DNP

Denny McCarthy

$7,200

T56

T13

MC

T33

DNP

Harris English

$7,200

DNP

MC

T17

T25

T32

K.H. Lee

$7,200

MC

T56

MC

T48

DNP

Maverick McNealy

$7,200

T26

T4

T58

DNP

DNP

Ryan Fox

$7,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Sam Ryder

$7,200

MC

DNP

T41

W/D

MC

Sepp Straka

$7,200

T3

T59

T33

DNP

DNP

Ben Martin

$7,100

T59

MC

DNP

DNP

T55

C. Bezuidenhout

$7,100

DNP

T33

T28

DNP

DNP

Cameron Davis

$7,100

T3

T25

DNP

DNP

DNP

Davis Riley

$7,100

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Kurt Kitayama

$7,100

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Patrick Rodgers

$7,100

DNP

MC

MC

DNP

DNP

Ty Detry

$7,100

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Aaron Rai

$7,000

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Adam Svensson

$7,000

T26

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

EmIliano Grillo

$7,000

MC

T2

MC

T33

T16

Justin Suh

$7,000

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Mackenzie Hughes

$7,000

MC

T52

T70

T63

DNP

Sam Stevens

$7,000

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Stephan Jaeger

$7,000

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ben Griffin

$6,900

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Brandon Wu

$6,900

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Brendon Todd

$6,900

T26

T39

MC

DNP

DNP

Danny Willett

$6,900

T28

T18

MC

MC

DNP

J.J. Spaun

$6,900

MC

DNP

MC

T28

MC

Joel Dahmen

$6,900

T12

DNP

T48

T16

DNP

Nick Taylor

$6,900

MC

MC

DNP

T58

MC

Taylor Pendrith

$6,900

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Akshay Bhatia

$6,800

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Hayden Buckley

$6,800

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Lanto Griffin

$6,800

MC

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Lucas Herbert

$6,800

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Scott Stallings

$6,800

MC

MC

T48

T48

T55

Tyler Duncan

$6,800

T12

MC

T28

MC

DNP

Erik van Rooyan

$6,700

T10

DNP

T21

DNP

DNP

Patton Kizzire

$6,700

T26

MC

MC

T45

MC

Beau Hossler

$6,600

MC

MC

DNP

MC

T16

C.T. Pan

$6,600

T42

MC

T52

1st

T23

Lucas Glover

$6,600

T48

T33

T21

MC

T32

Luke List

$6,600

MC

58th

MC

T41

T3

Ryan Palmer

$6,600

DNP

DNP

T8

T28

76th

Chesson Hadley

$6,500

MC

MC

T58

MC

T7

Doug Ghim

$6,500

T35

T33

DNP

DNP

DNP

Matthew NeSmith

$6,500

T12

T48

T33

DNP

DNP

Stewart Cink

$6,500

68th

1st

T62

MC

T42

Kevin Kisner

$6,400

MC

MC

MC

T41

T7

Luke Donald

$6,400

T56

MC

MC

T33

MC

Zach Johnson

$6,400

W/D

MC

MC

T16

T42

Russell Knox

$6,300

MC

MC

MC

MC

T40


Email the Fantasy Golf Report here.