Tuesday, May 11, 2021

Fantasy Golf: AT&T Byron Nelson Preview

Well they up and changed course for this event again dagnabbit. This year we'll be watching the boys play at TPC Craig Ranch which is the centerpiece of the Craig Ranch Community. Yes that may sound like a cult but, judging from the rave reviews on the homeowner's association page, it is nothing like that. These are actual quotes from Craig Ranch homeowners about "Living the Dream" (without grammatical corrections) and really, nothing about them makes you think Stepford situation. I'll let you try to figure-out where the original quote stops and the FGR commentary begins. 

I have lived in Craig Ranch for a year now and so far I have really enjoyed it. I feel like I am far from the big city chaos however Im not far from getting the things I need. My neighbors are friendly and overall, my street is very quiet except for the screaming voices I've had in my head since the new homeowner welcome party. – Craig Ranch Homeowner

As a homeowner I feel like I am kept informed on neighborhood activities, changes in HOA and just "need to know" type stuff. I feel we have a strong HOA that gets things done and I feel confident I always have someone to go to should I have questions or concerns. One time I asked a member of the HOA a question about something that I did not "need to know." I used to have ten fingers and now I have nine but I don't have any more questions. So that's nice. – Craig Ranch Homeowner

There are so many good things yet to come to Craig Ranch and its happening now and very fast! I am very excited with all the new stuff and only look forward to many more new things coming our way. (Please get me out of here . . . I don't know how much longer I can keep them believing I drank the fruit punch at the new homeowner welcome party). - Craig Ranch Homeowner

The area is quiet (except for the screaming voices of course) and on my street I can say that I have a good group of neighbors. I encourage anyone who is looking for a home to visit Craig Ranch. I guarantee you will like what you see. Which is good because you can check-out any time you like, but you can never leave. - Craig Ranch Homeowner

TWEET OF THE WEEK

I have a similar recurring dream but in mine I'm a kangaroo that can't jump too good and all of the other kangaroos call me "shithead."


GOLF ANALYSIS FOR THE MAN ON THE GO

So we have no historical data which makes my job easy this week as I will be guessing along with the rest of you amateurs. Bryson DeChambeau crawled back from the Friday brink last week to finish T9th so I'm on a bit of a mini-roll if you don't count Patrick Reed's missed cut at the Valspar. Which I don't. Because he's a chump. 

Some may remember (but I doubt it) that I picked Scottie Scheffler to win the Valero Texas Open back in March. Well funny thing about that. I didn't actually enter him that week and, after he shot an opening round 68, I pitched a silent fit to myself as I was sure he was going to win without me. But good news, he finished T54th so I'm going to pick him again this week. At least that's the goal.

The rest of the picks are either Texans, guys who play well in Texas or K.H. Lee. Even with D.J. bailing this is a strong field at the top but then the quality falls straight off a cliff after Lee Westwood at $8,500. Where's Cameron Tringale when you need him?

One and Done Pick: Scottie Scheffler
"Ha ha great story dude. You
know I'm going to screw you
for real this time right?"

Other Guy I'd Pick: Jordan Spieth

Sleeper Pick: K.H. Lee

DraftKings Top Ten Values


Jordan Spieth

$10,700

Scottie Scheffler

$9,400

Marc Leishman

$9,200

Lee Westwood

$8,500

Aaron Wise

$8,300

Talor Gooch

$7,900

Doug Ghim

$7,500

Martin Laird

$7,200

Scott Piercy

$7,100

K.H. Lee

$6,900

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com.

Wednesday, May 5, 2021

Fantasy Golf: Wells Fargo Championship Preview

No real broken arm update other than the fact that I am now almost adept at tying my shoes and picking my nose with the bad hand. So that's some progress which is good because I may have to play a golf match eight days after cast removal. "Competitive" country club golf can be pretty cut-throat. Oh and on a semi-related health note, the second Pfizer shot can feel like an unearned two day hangover. Headache, dry mouth and fatigue but at least with none of the remorse and lost apparel.   

TWEET OF THE WEEK

Ever since I designated Cameron Tringale as the FGR weather vane of above averageness, the guy has produced a T9 and a T3 jumping from 89th to 65th in the world. I may need to go in search of a new measuring stick but for now I'll ride with Tringale and his cool, almost content just to contend demeanor. Apparently I'm not alone in this assessment.* 


Mid-Post Footnote (A thighnote?)

* I believe this tweet is a reference to the No Laying Up podcast. I don't listen to golf podcasts because they are inevitably eight minutes of worthwhile content spread over ninety minutes with the balance of the time being filled with ads and golf banter that generates a 5:1 groan to laugh ratio. I try to keep these previews brief in an effort to lower that ratio to 4:1 (though that "thighnote" joke).  

A FEW WORDS ON OUR GOOD FRIEND PATRICK REED

Patrick Reed provided me with my annual reason to continue despising him by missing the cut last week. And that was before reading what appeared to be an effort at image rehabilitation in Golf Digest that managed to step on every rake in the yard. 

Q: You’ve given to charities with the express desire of not being found out. I’ll put you on the spot to tell us what causes and why?

A: If I’m going to help a person but broadcast it over social media, it looks like you’re trying to get a gain out of it. Junior golf, homeless shelters, disaster relief funds, Ronald McDonald, cancer centers, veterans, the list goes on. (Emphasis added for douchy effect).

I guess why people don't like him will just remain one of life's great unsolved mysteries.  

GOLF ANALYSIS FOR THAT SPECIAL SOMEONE IN YOUR LIFE

I'm going to hold my nose, close my eyes and down all of the shitty medicine for the year in one two week dose. Bryson DeChambeau hasn't played since yet another embarrassing performance at Augusta and you know he's out for retribution from those who dare to judge him for being exactly who he is. Not to mention, he finished T4 here the last time he played.

I wrestled with putting Rory in the second slot. If he's going to bounce back anywhere, it will be on a course that he prefers in a tournament with moderate significance so I'm taking a leap of faith. You wouldn't hurt my feelings if you went with Webb Simpson or Viktor Hovland there. It's a home game for Simpson, though that home course advantage thing is a bit of a myth as I prove on a regular basis.

The rest of the picks are a bit of an eclectic mix to suit the randomness of outcomes this tournament produces. Max Homa, Jason Day, Brian Harman, James Hahn and Rory are quite the hodgepodge of winners and I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see a Talor Gooch or Lanto Griffin join that crew. Hopefully we get a flash of Phil Mickelson on the leaderboard this weekend to keep it interesting because I'm not sure a Gooch/Griffin duel down the stretch is going to hold my attention. (See for example Burns v. Bradley, circa last week). 

One and Done Pick: Bryson DeChambeau
"GET IN MY BELLY!!!"

Other Guy I'd Pick: Talor Gooch

Sleeper Pick: Phil Mickelson

DraftKings Top Ten Values

B. DeChambeau

$11,000

Rory McIlroy

$10,000

Corey Conners

$9,200

Brian Harman

$8,700

Jason Day

$8,600

Talor Gooch

$7,600

Joel Dahmen

$7,600

Aaron Wise

$7,100

Pat Perez

$7,000

Phil Mickelson

$6,900


                                THE SECOND SHOT BAD BOOZE EFFECT
                                   HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART

One might think that with how much the players say they love this event, more good ones would finish in the top ten but one would be wrong. It should be noted that, in addition to his two recent T4's here, Rickie Fowler is the 2012 champion. And so it has been noted.

 

DK Price

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

Justin Thomas

$11,300

DNP

T21

DNP

MC

T7

B. DeChambeau

$11,000

DNP

4th

MC

MC

DNP

Jon Rahm

$10,800

DNP

DNP

4th

DNP

DNP

Xander Schauffele

$10,500

DNP

T72

T24

DNP

DNP

Webb Simpson

$10,200

T18

T21

MC

MC

T2

Rory McIlroy

$10,000

T8

T16

DNP

T4

1st

Viktor Hovland

$9,800

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Patrick Cantlay

$9,600

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Tony Finau

$9,500

T60

T21

DNP

T28

DNP

Will Zalatoris

$9,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Patrick Reed

$9,300

T28

8th

T12

T28

T58

Corey Conners

$9,200

DNP

T42

DNP

DNP

MC

Joaquin Niemann

$9,100

T38

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Max Homa

$9,000

1st

DNP

MC

DNP

T76

Abraham Ancer

$8,900

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Sungjae Im

$8,800

T31

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Brian Harman

$8,700

T24

74th

1st

T35

MC

Jason Day

$8,600

T24

1st

DNP

DNP

DNP

Keegan Bradley

$8,500

MC

T76

DNP

DNP

DNP

Cameron Tringale

$8,400

MC

T27

MC

T41

19th

Bubba Watson

$8,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Shane Lowry

$8,200

DNP

T34

T24

MC

DNP

Emiliano Grillo

$8,100

DNP

T9

DNP

T61

DNP

Harris English

$8,000

T54

DNP

MC

T17

DNP

Tommy Fleetwood

$8,000

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Russell Henley

$7,900

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Stewart Cink

$7,900

DNP

T72

MC

DNP

T20

Lucas Glover

$7,800

T31

MC

T52

8th

T28

Rickie Fowler

$7,800

T4

T21

DNP

T4

DNP

Brendan Steele

$7,700

T54

DNP

DNP

T14

T9

Kevin Streelman

$7,700

T45

MC

MC

MC

T9

Harold Varner, III

$7,600

MC

DNP

MC

T24

DNP

Joel Dahmen

$7,600

2nd

T16

MC

DNP

DNP

Talor Gooch

$7,600

DNP

T13

DNP

DNP

DNP

Francesco Molinari

$7,500

DNP

T16

T24

T17

DNP

Gary Woodland

$7,500

W/D

MC

DNP

T24

T4

Matt Wallace

$7,500

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Carlos Ortiz

$7,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

T65

DNP

Lanto Griffin

$7,400

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Matt Jones

$7,400

T38

DNP

T66

MC

T28

Ian Poulter

$7,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

T61

DNP

Matthew NeSmith

$7,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Maverick McNealy

$7,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Adam Hadwin

$7,200

T38

T16

DNP

T61

MC

Denny McCarthy

$7,200

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Erik Van Rooyan

$7,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Sebastian Munoz

$7,200

T38

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Aaron Wise

$7,100

T18

T2

DNP

DNP

DNP

Cameron Davis

$7,100

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Kyle Stanley

$7,100

T8

T13

DNP

MC

DNP

Ryan Moore

$7,100

DNP

MC

DNP

MC

T47

Zach Johnson

$7,100

MC

DNP

T18

DNP

DNP

Johnny Vegas

$7,000

T8

T42

DNP

T53

T76

Keith Mitchell

$7,000

T8

T34

DNP

DNP

DNP

Tom Hoge

$7,000

T65

T76

MC

T41

MC

Pat Perez

$7,000

T8

DNP

T2

DNP

T20

Phil Mickelson

$6,900

MC

T5

T18

T4

T4

James Hahn

$6,800

DNP

MC

T59

1st

73rd

Scott Stallings

$6,800

MC

MC

DNP

DNP

MC

Rory Sabbatini

$6,700

T18

T27

W/D

DNP

MC

Doc Redman

$6,700

T18

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Byeong Hun An

$6,600

W/D

T63

T8

MC

DNP

J.B. Holmes

$6,600

W/D

T42

T36

T53

MC

Email the Fantasy Golf Report here