Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Fantasy Golf: The Tour Championship Preview

If you're reading this preview that means that I posted it and if I posted it that means that I didn't miss one goddamned post all season. Through corporate takeovers, graduations, road trips home from Memphis, and more "fuck you Tuesdays" than I can count, the FGR machine cranked out some kind of authentic frontier Mid-Atlantic gibberish every week. 

To be honest, the struggles drove the content because if nothing else, the FGR runs on angst. I've got to believe it's more interesting to read updates from a guy who chooses to crash into every buoy instead of sailing around them. It's certainly never boring living in a perpetual man overboard drill when you're both the guy in the water and the guy trying to throw him the life jacket.

So as we wrap-up maybe the worst handicapping season in FGR history that ended somewhat ironically by hate picking a winner, we're already looking forward to an eventful 2027 fraught with new challenges that we can go out of our way not to avoid.  

GOLF ANALYSIS

The Tour Championship is back for it's second year of attempting to restore credibility after a six year run of employing arguably the most absurd scoring method in the history of sports. This week's Historical Performance Chart has been adjusted to erase any remnants of it and it reveals that Scottie Scheffler is merely very good at East Lake so definitely a little overvalued at +340 to win.   

Below we have listed some more attractive alternatives including Chris Gotterup who has only played the event once but appears to have the perfect make-up for it. If we're talking about a marriage of odds and likelihood of winning, I like him followed by Collin Morikawa and yes, Wyndham Clark (shoot me). 

From the slightly longer shot department, we're looking at Russell Henley based on his Tour Championship track record and Tom Kim based on current form. In fact, I just dialed them both up for top 10's along with a Collin Morikawa top 5 for a +2800 parlay that feels just dumb enough to work. 

Place

Player

Odds

Winner

Chris Gotterup

+1950

Top 5

Collin Morikawa

+285

Top 10

Russell Henley

+135

Top 10

Tom Kim

+195

Top 20

Alex Fitzpatrick

-150


One and Done Pick: Justin Rose
Oh right. Justin Rose is our one and
done pick. It was either him or some
guy we couldn't pick out of a line-up.
 

Other Guy I'd Pick: Chris Gotterup

Sleeper Pick: Alex Fitzpatrick

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Xander Schauffele

$10,000

Wyndham Clark

$9,400

Patrick Cantlay

$8,900

Collin Morikawa

$8,100

Chris Gotterup

$7,900

Russell Henley

$7,500

Viktor Hovland

$7,300

Justin Rose

$6,900

Tom Kim

$6,800

Alex Fitzpatrick

$6,200


As noted above, we painstaking removed all of the handicap nonsense from years 2021-2023 to deliver this useful data. No need to thank us. We'd rather feel under appreciated it. Fits with this week's theme. And if you don't get this week's HPC dedication, a quick search under "Good Good" will get you there. We're not going to link to it because fuck those losers. 

THE GOOD GOOD/CALLAWAY MARKETING
DEPARTMENT'S MIDDLE MANAGEMENT MEMORIAL
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART

As indicated below, Sam Burns and Tommy Fleetwood are certainly worth your consideration while Hideki Matsuyama is not (I'm not even going to bother with the obvious disclaimer on that prediction). 

 

DK Price

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

Scottie Scheffler

$14,000

T4

3rd

T21

T13

T17

Rory McIlroy

$11,000

T23

12th

T11

1st

14th

Xander Schauffele

$10,000

DNP

T13

1st

T6

3rd

Ludvig Aberg

$9,700

T21

T19

DNP

DNP

DNP

Wyndham Clark

$9,400

DNP

T8

3rd

DNP

DNP

Sam Burns

$9,200

T7

T13

T4

T25

T17

Tommy Fleetwood

$9,000

1st

T16

T9

DNP

DNP

Patrick Cantlay

$8,900

T2

T19

T6

T16

T4

Cameron Young

$8,500

T4

DNP

DNP

T19

DNP

Collin Morikawa

$8,100

T19

1st

T4

T19

28th

Chris Gotterup

$7,900

T10

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Matt Fitzpatrick

$7,800

DNP

DNP

T13

T16

DNP

Si Woo Kim

$7,700

DNP

DNP

19th

DNP

DNP

Hideki Matsuyama

$7,600

29th

T16

DNP

T9

T26

Russell Henley

$7,500

T2

4th

T13

DNP

DNP

Ryan Gerard

$7,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Viktor Hovland

$7,300

12th

T8

1st

15th

T4

J.J. Spaun

$7,200

T25

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Robert MacIntyre

$7,100

T17

T16

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jacob Bridgeman

$7,000

T27

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Justin Rose

$6,900

T21

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Tom Kim

$6,800

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Min Woo Lee

$6,700

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Gary Woodland

$6,600

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Adam Scott

$6,500

DNP

5th

DNP

24th

DNP

Kristoff Reitan

$6,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Alex Smalley

$6,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Alex Fitzpatrick

$6,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Akshay Bhatia

$6,100

T13

T24

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ryan Fox

$6,000

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP


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