Wednesday, March 17, 2021

Fantasy Golf: The Honda Classic Preview

When the guy you picked to win last week opens his first nine holes with a double bogey and closes it with a quad, there are very few places to go but up. I still feel a bit blindsided as Rory came into the tournament riding a T6 and a T10. Little did we know that those results were smoke and mirrors hiding a demonic hook that was lurking beneath the surface. 

Rory would admit after his second round that he has recently attempted to add more clubhead speed in part after watching Bryson DeChambeau manhandle Winged Foot back in October. The result was that his swing got flatter and his quintessential draw turned into an occasional diabolical hook. And, as anyone who has ever battled the hook before can tell you . . .(shiver goes down my spine) . . . I'm sorry. Still not ready to talk about it. 

Would've been nice of Rory to mention that before he missed the cut by 12 shots. Anyway, there are two lessons here: (1) Learn to hit the fade kids, and (2) everything Bryson DeChambeau touches dies.  

TWEET OF THE WEEK

I usually just get back out of my car and start rummaging through my trunk but I like this option better . . . 


SUBLIMELY RIDICULOUS GOLF ANALYSIS 

Not a very inspiring field this week and my picks reflect that. Allow me to go on record right now as saying I could not have less confidence in them if they were my defiant 13 year old daughter eating chocolate ice cream while wearing a white sweatshirt. 

This tournament used to be fairly easy as you'd start with Rickie Fowler and then build from there but Rickie hasn't had a top ten finish since missing the cut here last year. During that stretch he's had just five top twenty finishes and nine missed cuts including last week at The Players when he posted a somewhat defeated looking 77-73. I hope he finds it again as he may not be the best player never to win a major but he's probably the most likeable . . . just edging-out Collin Montgomerie. 

Last week I abandoned Talor Gooch for the first time all year and he predictably finished T5th. Well I'm not making that mistake again and in fact I'm going to overcompensate and go all in on him over the likes of Sungjae Im, Daniel Berger and Adam Scott. This feels like a good week for some new blood as we have not had a first-time winner since Carlos Ortiz back in November which feels like 2017 in COVID years. 

The rest of the picks are about as chalky as you can get for this event which does not offer much in the way of multiple top ten finishers. At the bottom is the desperation pick of all desperation picks in Charl Schwartzel. His last four finishes are MC-MC-T62-MC but that's actually a good sign for him because he hasn't had a top five in two years that wasn't preceded by multiple missed cuts and or W/D's. And on that note, my daughter just wiped her hands on the couch. 

One and Done Pick: Talor Gooch
This is the week of the Gooch!

Other Guy I'd Pick: Adam Scott

Sleeper Pick: Maverick McNealy

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Adam Scott

$10,100

Russell Henley

$9,800

Talor Gooch

$9,300

Brendan Steele

$8,700

Byeon Hun An

$8,000

Russell Knox

$7,900

K.H. Lee

$7,500

Maverick McNealy

$7,200

Richy Werenski

$7,200

Charl Schwartzel

$6,800


You may note that Phil Mickelson and Henrik Norlander have been omitted from this week's chart and I would like to tell you that was intentional because there is no way you should pick either one of them but it wasn't. Just distracted data entry on my part as I was probably trying to do something else at the same time like my job or some shit. 

                                             THE WET ASS HISTORICAL 
                                        PERFORMANCE CHART (WAHP)

 

DK PRICE

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

Sungjae Im

$11,000

1st

T51

DNP

DNP

DNP

Daniel Berger

$10,800

T4

T36

T29

MC

MC

Lee Westwood

$10,600

T4

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Joaquin Niemann

$10,400

MC

T59

DNP

DNP

DNP

Adam Scott

$10,100

DNP

MC

T13

T14

1st

Russell Henley

$9,800

T8

T20

T24

T43

MC

Talor Gooch

$9,300

T38

T20

MC

DNP

DNP

Shane Lowry

$9,200

T21

DNP

DNP

DNP

T53

Cameron Tringale

$9,100

T27

T36

MC

65th

MC

Chris Kirk

$9,000

MC

MC

T33

DNP

MC

Rickie Fowler

$8,900

MC

T2

MC

1st

T6

Doug Ghim

$8,800

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Brendan Steele

$8,700

T4

MC

DNP

T14

T14

Cameron Davis

$8,600

T8

T59

DNP

DNP

DNP

Matthew Wallace

$8,500

MC

T20

DNP

DNP

DNP

Keegan Bradley

$8,400

MC

DNP

T49

MC

MC

Martin Kaymer

$8,300

DNP

67th

W/D

T4

MC

Dylan Frittelli

$8,200

T58

MC

11th

DNP

DNP

Byeon Hun An

$8,000

T4

T36

T5

DNP

DNP

Wyndham Clark

$8,000

T11

T7

DNP

DNP

DNP

J.T. Poston

$7,900

T35

T36

DNP

T27

DNP

Russell Knox

$7,900

MC

T51

MC

MC

T26

Brandon Wu

$7,800

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Adam Hadwin

$7,700

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

Alex Noren

$7,700

DNP

MC

3rd

DNP

DNP

Kevin Streelman

$7,700

T47

T71

DNP

DNP

DNP

Aaron Wise

$7,600

T35

DNP

T33

DNP

DNP

Erik Van Rooyen

$7,600

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Harold Varner, III

$7,600

T42

T51

T72

T57

MC

K.H. Lee

$7,500

T38

T7

DNP

DNP

DNP

Luke List

$7,500

MC

MC

2nd

T52

T10

Michael Thompson

$7,500

57th

T16

T24

MC

T53

Patton Kizzire

$7,500

68th

MC

MC

T66

T26

Matt Jones

$7,400

T47

T36

DNP

DNP

MC

Zach Johnson

$7,400

67th

T59

DNP

T27

MC

James Hahn

$7,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jhonny Vegas

$7,300

T27

T16

T72

T4

DNP

Matthew NeSmith

$7,300

T38

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ryan Moore

$7,300

DNP

DNP

T49

DNP

DNP

Keith Mitchell

$7,200

MC

1st

MC

DNP

DNP

Maverick McNealy

$7,200

T11

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Rafa Cabrera-Bello

$7,200

DNP

DNP

T29

T37

DNP

Richy Werenski

$7,200

T17

T78

MC

MC

DNP

Rory Sabbatini

$7,200

T35

T36

T17

MC

MC

Adam Long

$7,100

T27

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Harry Higgs

$7,100

T58

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Nick Taylor

$7,100

DNP

T30

DNP

DNP

DNP

Lucas Glover

$7,000

MC

T4

T17

T21

MC

Patrick Rodgers

$7,000

T21

T30

T33

MC

MC

Denny McCarthy

$6,900

MC

MC

MC

DNP

DNP

Jim Furyk

$6,900

MC

T9

T46

DNP

DNP

John Huh

$6,900

MC

T59

T24

MC

T14

Charl Schwartzel

$6,800

T17

T16

DNP

DNP

DNP

Nate Lashley

$6,700

DNP

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com

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