Wednesday, February 10, 2021

Fantasy Golf: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Preview

Kind of a good news/bad news situation this week. The good news is that this year's tournament will be played without amateurs. Thus we will be spared two hours of complete yo-yo time on Saturday with golf commentators making fools of themselves trying to be some kind of cross between red carpet sycophants and peripheral posse members of "B" level celebrities. Phillip Seymour Hoffman's character in Boogie Nights carried himself with more dignity.  

The bad news is that the Saturday of this tournament is one of my favorite hate-tweeting days. And with this not being an election year, I have no idea what I'm going to get to be all riled-up up about. I'm sure my fellow citizens of Earth will help me come up with something. They always do.

TWEET OF THE WEEK

Not a week goes by when I don't put on one of my seersucker suits, see a mouse run across the floor and exclaim . . . 


BE A GOLDFISH GOLF ANALYSIS

I'm going to heed the advice of Ted Lasso and pretend that I have the ten second memory of a goldfish instead of the actual fifteen second memory of an attention deficient middle aged guy. That should help erase any recollection of last week's ill-fated Daniel "Dead to Me" Berger pick. Though if I hadn't picked him, it would have been Justin Thomas or Webb Simpson, both of whom went backwards on Sunday so there is always a bright side (sometimes). 

Dustin Johnson was a late scratch which means that we have zero players ranked in the top ten and only three of the top forty (Patrick Cantlay, Paul Casey and "Dead to Me" Berger). It is still, however, an intriguing field. Is Jordan Spieth's resurgence for real? Will Phil Mickelson discover the magic here like he so often does? Will we get teflon Jason Day or bag of potato chips Jason Day?

The last question is critical as I am going to take my annual pilgrimage into the risky abyss that is picking Mr. Day. His track record at this tournament is simply too impeccable to ignore. I'd say the same of Phil but he's turning erratic into a brand these days and I'm not buying. Oh and you should always consider Cantlay in California. It's like buying oranges or some shit like that.

The rest of this week's picks are an assortment of random guys who've played well on the coast before (Maverick McNealy, Nick Taylor and Brian Gay), young hopefuls (Will Zalatoris, Max Homa, Matthew NeSmith and Harry Higgs) and FGR favorite Joel Dahmen who once during the pandemic tweeted that he was looking for a game on Saturday and followed through on accepting the invitation. Above all else, we do love ourselves a true everyman.   

One and Done Pick: Jason Day 
You must watch this show. Has the
FGR ever steered you wrong? (Wait).
Just watch it. Trust me. (This time).

Other Guy I'd Pick: Patrick Cantlay 

Sleeper Pick: Brian Gay

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Patrick Cantlay

$11,300

Will Zalatoris

$9,900

Jason Day

$9,500

Max Homa

$8,800

Matthew NeSmith

$8,000

Maverick McNealy

$7,600

Nick Taylor

$7,600

Joel Dahmen

$7,400

Harry Higgs

$7,200

Brian Gay

$6,600


I'll probably regret not picking Kevin Streelman but it was either him or Max Homa and, with all due respect to Streelman, no one is picking him over Max for anything other than chaperoning a 7th grade field trip. And even then the kids will be pissed that you didn't pick Homa.

                                       THE HAL HOLBROOK MEMORIAL*
                                     HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART 

 

DK Price

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

Patrick Cantlay

$11,300

T11

DNP

T35

T48

DNP

Paul Casey

$10,400

T64

2nd

T8

DNP

DNP

Daniel Berger

$10,100

T5

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Will Zalatoris

$9,900

DNP

DNP

T68

DNP

DNP

Jordan Spieth

$9,700

T9

T45

T20

1st

T21

Jason Day

$9,500

4th

T4

T2

T5

T11

Si Woo Kim

$9,400

MC

T4

DNP

MC

T35

Francesco Molinari

$9,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Rickie Fowler

$9,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Sam Burns

$9,100

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Cameron Davis

$9,000

T38

T59

MC

DNP

DNP

Kevin Streelman

$8,900

2nd

T7

6th

T14

T17

Max Homa

$8,800

T14

T10

DNP

MC

DNP

Henrik Norlander

$8,700

T25

DNP

DNP

DNP

T70

Phil Mickelson

$8,600

3rd

1st

T2

65th

2nd

Cameron Tringale

$8,500

T64

T53

T47

MC

DNP

Brendan Steele

$8,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Alex Noren

$8,300

T32

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Brian Harman

$8,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Matt Jones

$8,100

T5

T53

MC

T23

T11

James Hahn

$8,000

MC

MC

T26

T58

MC

Matthew NeSmith

$8,000

T11

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Chris Kirk

$7,900

MC

DNP

MC

T39

DNP

Brandt Snedeker

$7,800

MC

MC

T20

4th

T35

Peter Malnati

$7,800

T11

MC

T35

MC

T66

Russell Knox

$7,800

MC

T14

T15

MC

DNP

Harold Varner, III

$7,700

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Rafa Cabrera-Bello

$7,700

MC

T22

T26

DNP

DNP

Maverick McNealy

$7,600

T5

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Nick Taylor

$7,600

1st

T28

MC

T10

T30

Patton Kizzire

$7,600

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Chez Reavie

$7,500

T25

T38

T2

MC

T26

Doug Ghim

$7,500

MC

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Scott Stallings

$7,500

MC

3rd

7th

T14

MC

Andrew Putnam

$7,400

DNP

T38

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jim Furyk

$7,400

MC

T14

DNP

T66

DNP

Joel Dahmen

$7,400

T14

DNP

T55

T48

DNP

Kyle Stanley

$7,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

T41

Adam Long

$7,300

MC

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Charley Hoffman

$7,300

MC

T61

W/D

MC

DNP

Branden Grace

$7,200

MC

T28

T20

DNP

DNP

Harry Higgs

$7,200

T18

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Stewart Cink

$7,200

T38

DNP

MC

T55

T21

Nate Lashley

$7,100

W/D

T45

MC

DNP

DNP

Pat Perez

$7,100

MC

MC

T35

T14

T41

Scott Piercy

$7,100

T18

T10

T20

T55

DNP

Austin Cook

$7,000

MC

T61

DNP

DNP

DNP

Brian Stuard

$7,000

MC

T45

MC

MC

MC

Vaughn Taylor

$7,000

MC

MC

T55

MC

1ST

Keith Mitchell

$6,900

T32

MC

T47

DNP

DNP

Patrick Rodgers

$6,900

MC

MC

T8

DNP

DNP

Troy Merritt

$6,900

T25

DNP

T8

DNP

MC

Kevin Chappell

$6,800

T25

DNP

T8

T48

MC

Ted Potter, Jr.

$6,800

MC

MC

1st

DNP

DNP

Beau Hossler

$6,700

T38

MC

T43

MC

DNP

Chesson Hadley

$6,700

T18

MC

T35

DNP

MC

K. Aphibarnrat

$6,700

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Brian Gay

$6,600

T38

T7

T8

T66

T58

J.B. Holmes

$6,600

T14

MC

MC

T23

T11

Aaron Baddeley

$6,500

T25

MC

T55

T51

T51


Footnote

* We would be remiss if we did not pay homage to Lou Mannheim who sits in the upper echelon of the pantheon devoted to small part characters who made good movies great. 




Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com

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