Wednesday, January 20, 2021

Fantasy Golf: The American Express

Because everyone needs some entertainment on these bland uneventful Wednesdays, I've decided to crank-out a brief preview of this week's professional golf tournament. You're welcome for the distraction. 

TWEET OF THE WEEK

A very local and inside tweet for what is in essence a very local and inside website. Trust me. This is some funny shit that needles just the right people in just the right way.

PREMIUM HIGH QUALITY GOLF ANALYSIS

Anytime you're trying to pick a golf tournament recently won by Andrew Landry, Adam Long, Hudson Swafford and the ball striker formally known as Jason Dufner, you are definitely wandering about on some shifting tectonic plates. But that's the job. So here we go. 

Let's get the obvious ones out of the way first. You have to factor Adam Hadwin and Andrew Landry somewhere into your equation because they're more comfortable in La Quinta than Mike Pence will be at the forgotten VP happy hours with Dan Quayle and Walter Mondale (note my effort at bipartisanship there . . . the healing starts now). You could almost say the same about Phil Mickelson based on his two recent runner-ups but he seems a little flaky lately (a little?) so I'm staying away this week.

None of the high dollar guys have torn this event up with a bunch of top tens which makes it even more of a crapshoot. With that being the case, I'm going to double-down on Patrick Reed who disappointed at the Tournament of Champions and I'm going to TRIPLE-DOWN on Sungjae Im who disappointed even more at the Sony Open. In financial terms this is called "riding your losers" and I believe it is widely regarded as sound investment strategy. 

This event feels like the perfect place for a guy who's overdue to make it happen and right now no one may fit that description better than Abraham Ancer who is ranked 26th in the world based on a shit ton of quality finishes but no wins. In the last three years here he has finished 76th, T18th and 2nd which I believe in financial terms is called a "trend" and leads to a guarantee of future positive performance based on past results. Feel free to confirm all of this advice with a licensed professional.

My other five picks are pretty chalky but I do have a good feeling about Talor Gooch who is currently the FGR's "man he's going to pick that guy every fucking week until he does something isn't he?" guy. Feel free to substitute Brian Gay or Vaughn Taylor for Martin Laird because they're all effectively the same player for gambling purposes.     

One and Done Pick: Abraham Ancer

"Almost" ends this 
week for Abraham.
Other Guy I'd Pick: Sungjae Im

Sleeper Pick: Talor Gooch 

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Patrick Reed

$10,200

Sungjae Im

$9,900

Abraham Ancer

$9,100

Sam Burns

$8,300

Brian Harman

$8,100

Adam Hadwin

$8,000

Charles Howell, III

$7,800

Talor Gooch

$7,400

Andrew Landry

$7,000

Martin Laird

$6,900


As noted above, we don't have a lot of highlighted squares at the top of the chart mainly because the higher ranked players apparently don't like hanging-out in towns where a large segment of the population wear golf shoes to The Olive Garden. I guess they think they're too good for us. And besides, they're spikeless shoes and I'm too drunk to change into my flip-flops. 

                                 THE LA QUINTA JUST FAR ENOUGH 
                                  FROM THE AIRPORT TO GET SHOT
                                HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART 

 

DK Price

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

Patrick Cantlay

$11,100

DNP

T9

DNP

DNP

DNP

Brooks Koepka

$10,800

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Tony Finau

$10,500

T14

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

Patrick Reed

$10,200

DNP

DNP

MC

T12

T56

Sungjae Im

$9,900

T10

T12

DNP

DNP

DNP

Matthew Wolff

$9,700

T61

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Scottie Scheffler

$9,500

3rd

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Rickie Fowler

$9,300

T10

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Kevin Na

$9,200

T17

DNP

T42

T70

T3

Abraham Ancer

$9,100

2nd

T18

76th

DNP

MC

Russell Henley

$9,000

MC

MC

DNP

MC

DNP

Cameron Champ

$8,900

T21

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Phil Mickelson

$8,800

MC

T2

MC

T21

T3

Paul Casey

$8,700

T21

DNP

DNP

T58

DNP

Lanto Griffin

$8,600

DNP

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Adam Long

$8,500

MC

1st

DNP

DNP

DNP

Patton Kizzire

$8,400

MC

MC

T42

T50

T42

Sam Burns

$8,300

T6

T18

DNP

DNP

DNP

Si Woo Kim

$8,200

W/D

T40

DNP

DNP

T9

Brian Harman

$8,100

T21

MC

T20

T3

T11

Adam Hadwin

$8,000

DNP

T2

T3

2nd

T6

Ryan Moore

$8,000

T6

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Erik Van Rooyen

$7,900

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Zach Johnson

$7,900

MC

T28

T20

MC

MC

Charles Howell

$7,800

MC

T34

T20

T12

T11

Emilliano Grillo

$7,800

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

DNP

Cameron Davis

$7,700

T29

T28

DNP

DNP

DNP

Gary Woodland

$7,700

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Aaron Wise

$7,600

MC

MC

T17

T34

DNP

Alex Noren

$7,600

T14

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Chris Kirk

$7,600

DNP

MC

MC

T21

DNP

Doc Redman

$7,500

T29

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Joel Dahman

$7,500

DNP

DNP

MC

MC

DNP

Lucas Glover

$7,500

MC

T12

T29

T41

T17

Cameron Tringale

$7,400

T43

T51

MC

MC

T14

Charley Hoffman

$7,400

T61

MC

DNP

MC

MC

Sepp Straka

$7,400

T4

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Talor Gooch

$7,400

T17

4th

T67

DNP

DNP

Brendan Steele

$7,300

T43

T57

T20

T6

T34

J.T. Poston

$7,300

T37

T7

MC

T34

DNP

Keegan Bradley

$7,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

T25

DNP

M. McNealy

$7,300

T37

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Russell Knox

$7,300

T37

T18

T29

DNP

DNP

Tom Hoge

$7,300

T6

MC

T57

DNP

DNP

Chez Reavie

$7,200

MC

T28

T36

T12

T17

John Huh

$7,200

T48

T70

DNP

MC

T24

Kevin Streelman

$7,200

MC

T34

T29

MC

T11

Peter Malnati

$7,200

MC

T18

MC

77th

MC

Scott Piercy

$7,100

T61

T57

T6

T41

DNP

Wyndham Clark

$7,100

MC

T18

DNP

DNP

DNP

Andrew Landry

$7,000

1st

T28

2nd

DNP

MC

Ben An

$7,000

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

F. Molinari

$7,000

MC

DNP

DNP

T12

T62

Hudson Swafford

$7,000

MC

T65

T29

1st

T56

Max Homa

$7,000

T48

MC

DNP

MC

DNP

Nick Taylor

$7,000

MC

T40

T20

T34

MC

Rory Sabbatini

$7,000

T48

T57

DNP

T72

DNP

Brandt Snedeker

$6,900

DNP

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Denny McCarthy

$6,900

T48

MC

MC

DNP

DNP

Martin Laird

$6,900

MC

MC

MC

T9

T49

Patrick Rodgers

$6,900

T64

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Vaughn Taylor

$6,800

T43

T7

MC

DNP

DNP

Brian Gay

$6,700

MC

DNP

T42

MC

MC

Chesson Hadley

$6,700

T29

MC

T42

DNP

MC

Richy Werenski

$6,700

MC

MC

T29

T9

DNP

Brian Stuard

$6,600

72nd

T40

MC

MC

DNP

Danny Lee

$6,600

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Luke List

$6,600

MC

MC

MC

T41

T6

Jason Dufner

$6,500

T55

MC

T36

T25

1st


Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com.

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