Tuesday, April 16, 2019

Fantasy Golf: The RBC Heritage Preview

I have attempted and sucked at a lot of things in my life from windsurfing to wrapping Christmas presents to feigning interest in the words that come out of the mouths of boring people. But sucking at those things never bothered me because I didn't really try very hard at them nor did I care about the outcome. I mean who cares if I fell off an over accessorized surfboard or used an entire roll of scotch tape to wrap a shoebox or offended someone telling me about the time they went to a place I've never been with a person I don't know and did a thing that . . . excuse me I really have to take this call from proctologist. 

This fantasy golf thing is, however, a different story. As pathetic as it sounds (and is), I take this rather seriously and last week's picks were downright embarrassing. How was this for a Tiger take . . . Tiger is overrated as usual with most having him with the fourth best odds behind the three favorites . . . when there is no way he should be ranked ahead of Spieth, Casey, Rickie Fowler and probably Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Day, Watson and Matsuyama. I'm pretty sure he ended-up beating almost every one of those guys. Nice call FGR.

Here's how bad it was. Someone actually offered to pay me if I would tout their gambling website and include a reference to Brooks Koepka being underrated but I didn't do it because I was so sure Koepka was going to be a non-factor that I didn't want to sacrifice my journalistic integrity by recommending him. Seriously. That happened. So I'm going to take a step back from the analysis this week and just lay the information out there so you can make your own decisions. I'm picking Webb Simpson for what it's worth because he's available and I don't see any other obvious places to use him later in the season. 

And now . . . this.    

@GOLFBABES TWEET OF THE WEEK

THIS WEEK'S ANALYSIS

As previously noted three seconds ago, we're taking the minimalist approach. There are a handful of guys who play this course really well on a regular basis. Pick some of them. 

I know a guy who recently moved
to Hilton Head. I wonder if he'll ever
invite me to come down and play.
One and Done Pick: Webb Simpson

Other Guy I'd Pick: Bryson Dechambeau

Sleeper Pick: Luke Donald 

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Bryson DeChambeau
$10,400
Patrick Cantlay
$9,700
Webb Simpson
$9,300
Jason Kokrak
$8,800
Ian Poulter
$8,600
Cameron Smith
$7,900
Russell Knox
$7,700
Corey Connors
$7,400
Luke Donald
$7,200
Denny McCarthy
$6,400

Below are those same ten guys along with forty others to consider. The most glaring omissions from my top ten are Kisner and Kuch. I'd also give Graeme McDowell some consideration. It's going to be sweater weather for at least part of the weekend in Hilton Head so conditions should be ideal for a guy in a douchy cardigan.  


                                  THE ENRON/KODAK/BLOCKBUSTER 
                                  HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART 


DK Price
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Dustin Johnson
$11,600
T16
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Francesco Molinari
$11,300
49th
T22
T45
DNP
DNP
Xander Schauffele
$10,900
T32
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Bryson DeChambeau
$10,400
T3
MC
T4
DNP
DNP
Matt Kuchar
$10,000
T23
T11
T9
5th
1st
Patrick Cantlay
$9,700
T7
T3
DNP
DNP
DNP
Jordan Spieth
$9,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
T11
T12
Jim Furyk
$9,400
T70
MC
DNP
1st
T7
Webb Simpson
$9,300
T5
T11
T66
T51
DNP
Tommy Fleetwood
$9,200
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Kevin Kisner
$9,100
T7
T11
T69
2nd
T38
Si Woo Kim
$9,000
2nd
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Billy Horschel
$8,900
T5
MC
T54
T51
T68
Jason Kokrak
$8,800
MC
MC
T6
T18
T12
Charles Howell, III
$8,700
T55
T56
T23
MC
T53
Ian Poulter
$8,600
T7
T11
T54
T18
DNP
Matthew Fitzpatrick
$8,500
T14
MC
MC
DNP
T23
Sungjae Im
$8,400
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brandon Grace
$8,300
DNP
T11
1st
T7
DNP
Byeon Hun An
$8,200
T7
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Ryan Moore
$8,100
T16
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Marc Leishman
$8,000
MC
T44
T30
DNP
MC
Cameron Smith
$7,900
T32
T29
DNP
T15
DNP
Charley Hoffman
$7,800
T23
MC
T14
T64
T38
Lucas Glover
$7,800
T32
T32
T33
T18
MC
Luke List
$7,700
T3
MC
T39
DNP
DNP
Russell Knox
$7,700
T40
T11
T2
T18
T9
Aaron Baddeley
$7,600
T55
MC
T9
T66
MC
Abraham Ancer
$7,600
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Rafa Cabrera-Bello
$7,600
DNP
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brandt Snedeker
$7,500
T23
T11
MC
T26
T74
Graeme McDowell
$7,500
T55
T29
MC
DNP
T23
Zach Johnson
$7,500
T42
DNP
T33
MC
T61
Adam Hadwin
$7,400
DNP
T22
T30
MC
DNP
Corey Connors
$7,400
MC
DNP
DNP
MC
DNP
Ollie Schnieds
$7,400
T42
T3
DNP
DNP
DNP
Bud Cauley
$7,300
T23
T9
DNP
DNP
DNP
Russell Henley
$7,300
DNP
T26
T23
MC
MC
Kevin Streelman
$7,200
T7
DNP
DNP
T55
T53
Luke Donald
$7,200
MC
2nd
T2
T15
2nd
Chesson Hadley
$7,100
T7
DNP
MC
DNP
T38
Brian Harman
$7,000
T23
T9
MC
T44
T7
Bill Haas
$6,900
T7
MC
T14
T31
W/D
Kevin Na
$6,900
MC
T39
T4
DNP
MC
Nick Taylor
$6,900
MC
T22
T76
74th
DNP
Brian Gay
$6,700
T70
T6
MC
DNP
T68
Jason Dufner
$6,500
MC
T11
T54
T37
T35
Denny McCarthy
$6,400
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Satoshi Kodaira
$6,400
1st
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Ernie Els
$6,300
DNP
DNP
T14
DNP
T64

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com

1 comment:

Davis Sharp said...

I enjoyed readingg this