Tuesday, March 14, 2023

Fantasy Golf: The Valspar Championship Preview

Well this season is now officially a disaster. Five of my ten picks have missed the cut and the two guys leading my league (who should clearly be writing this instead of me) just picked Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler the last two weeks. I now sit over $8M out of the lead and we're not even halfway through March. The one bright side is that Jon Rahm and Will Zalatoris are the only two top twenty players I've picked . . . which may be part of the problem (um you think?).   

Anyway, it's going to be a thin preview because my mojo is circling the drain. Maybe a semi sabbatical is what I need to get back on track. At least that's what I'm telling myself. 

TWEET OF THE WEEK

This tweet falls squarely into the category of "if you know . . . you know." 


GOLF ANALYSIS

Really what's there to say when you're only hitting on made cuts at a rate of 50%? There were about twenty players I would've picked ahead of Scheffler last week. Clearly this would be the week for prudence in the name of two time defending champion Sam Burns. But fuck all that. I'd rather go down in a blaze of recklessness. 

So with that being said, I'm taking Justin Suh. Why? Who cares? And my other guy is Denny McCarthy because he already screwed me with a missed cut and at the rate I'm going, he's going to double down on that with a win. Besides, my strategy this week is to only pick guys with "N's" in their names and Denny's got two of them. Like I said. Fuck all that.

One and Done Pick: Justin Suh
Welcome to the FGR kid.
It ain't for the faint of heart.

Other Guy I'd Pick: Denny McCarthy 

Sleeper Pick: Luke Donald 

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Justin Thomas

$10,900

Justin Rose

$9,600

Denny McCarthy

$9,300

Justin Suh

$8,900

Ben Griffin

$8,400

Byeong Hun An

$7,900

Nick Taylor

$7,600

Joel Dahmen

$7,500

Matthew NeSmith

$7,200

Luke Donald

$6,800


This week's chart honors the recently passed (and apparently dissed at the Oscars) Tom Sizemore who from 1993 through 2001 played key roles in six iconic films (True Romance, Natural Born Killers, Heat, Black Hawk DownSaving Private Ryan and Bringing Out the Dead). Look we recognize the man had his battles that included credible and condemnable allegations of domestic abuse but it's hard to imagine those roles played by anyone else.  

                                          THE TOM SIZEMORE MEMORIAL
                                       HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART

Not reflected in this week's chart is that fact that Jordan Spieth won this thing back in 2015. Also, Luke Donald had back to back T4's in 2013 and 2014. Just thought you should know. 

 

DK Price

2022

2021

2019

2018

2017

Justin Thomas

$10,900

T3

T13

DNP

DNP

MC

Jordan Spieth

$10,600

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

DNP

Sam Burns

$10,200

1st

1st

T30

T12

DNP

Matt Fitzpatrick

$10,000

T5

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Tommy Fleetwood

$9,800

T16

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Justin Rose

$9,600

DNP

MC

DNP

T5

DNP

Keegan Bradley

$9,400

MC

2nd

MC

T31

T58

Denny McCarthy

$9,300

T48

T39

T9

DNP

DNP

Adam Hadwin

$9,200

T7

MC

MC

T12

1st

Brian Harman

$9,100

T5

DNP

MC

DNP

MC

Davis Riley

$9,000

2nd

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Justin Suh

$8,900

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Wyndham Clark

$8,800

MC

DNP

DNP

T37

DNP

Maverick McNealy

$8,700

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Gary Woodland

$8,600

T21

MC

MC

DNP

T58

Brandon Wu

$8,500

T33

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ben Griffin

$8,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Taylor Moore

$8,300

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Aaron Rai

$8,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

J.T. Poston

$8,100

MC

T54

MC

DNP

T14

K.H. Lee

$8,000

DNP

T29

W/D

DNP

DNP

Byeong Hun An

$7,900

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

T49

Stephen Jaeger

$7,800

MC

DNP

MC

T49

DNP

Victor Perez

$7,800

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jhonattan Vegas

$7,700

T27

T48

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ludvig Aberg

$7,700

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Garrick Higgo

$7,600

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Nick Taylor

$7,600

T70

MC

T24

MC

T62

Akshay Bhatia

$7,500

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Joel Dahmen

$7,500

T39

DNP

T30

DNP

DNP

Robby Shelton

$7,500

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Will Gordon

$7,500

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Alex Smalley

$7,400

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Beau Hossler

$7,400

DNP

T39

MC

MC

MC

Ben Martin

$7,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

T46

T52

Erik Van Rooyen

$7,400

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Pierceson Coody

$7,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

David Lingmerth

$7,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

T64

T27

Eric Cole

$7,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Sam Ryder

$7,300

MC

MC

MC

T68

DNP

Tyler Duncan

$7,300

T25

T39

MC

MC

DNP

Webb Simpson

$7,300

T48

DNP

MC

T8

T41

Luke List

$7,200

DNP

MC

DNP

T16

T27

Matthew NeSmith

$7,200

T3

T21

DNP

DNP

DNP

Adam Schenk

$7,100

MC

T18

MC

T59

DNP

Lee Hodges

$7,100

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Martin Laird

$7,100

MC

MC

DNP

MC

MC

Kevin Kisner

$7,000

T33

MC

T24

DNP

DNP

Stewart Cink

$7,000

T7

DNP

MC

T31

T27

Charley Hoffman

$6,900

MC

T18

T18

MC

MC

Harry Higgs

$6,900

T39

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Russell Knox

$6,900

T57

T21

T24

T16

MC

Luke Donald

$6,800

T16

T54

T9

T64

MC

Troy Merritt

$6,800

T27

T8

DNP

MC

MC

Zach Johnson

$6,800

MC

T29

T24

T16

DNP

Kevin Streelman

$6,700

T7

MC

MC

MC

T18

Lucas Glover

$6,700

DNP

T48

T13

T74

T18

Ryan Moore

$6,600

DNP

T39

MC

MC

T18

Doug Ghim

$6,500

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP


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