Tuesday, July 7, 2020

Fantasy Golf: Workday Charity Open Preview

The FGR's four week stretch since golf resumed has been an epic disaster on the level of, um . . . shit. Anyone got a good current topical example of an epic disaster? Anyone? Fauci? Anyone? No? OK. Anyway, last week's preview has to be rock bottom (please) as I actually considered and then proceeded to type this incredibly stupid sequence of words, "Let's start with who I'm not picking and that's the three favorites Bryson DeChambeau, Webb Simpson and Tyrrell Hatton." They ended-up finishing 1st, T4th and T8th. Ahem.

I'm in a random league that one of you out there suckered me into joining where I get to pick three players a week and sub one after the second round. Twenty-Eight teams ignored my advice and picked DeChambeau while I ended-up dropping Patrick Reed after a missed cut and adding Matthew Wolff only to watch him give the tournament away on the Sunday front nine. Suffice it to say that I finished 40th - just ahead of two teams called "Beerahole" and "Ronstadt's Biggest Fan" (apparently I'm in a league with myself and Don Henley).

But you usually get what you deserve when you pick Patrick Reed, the olive loaf of the deli counter. It's like cutting-off a gypsy in traffic and finding yourself on the wrong end of a mild curse. The good thing is that it only lasts through the weekend as you lament all of the more likeable players who actually made the cut. 

So the theme of this week is reclamation. Or rejuvenation. Or recreation. Or redemption. Or some shit like that. But first, this . . .

TWEET OF THE WEEK

Can't quite put my finger on why this from The Onion struck me as particularly funny . . .


GOLF ANALYSIS FOR THE INEXPLICABLY FAITHFUL 

If I have this right, the PGA Tour is playing two events in a row on the same golf course. Hard to decipher from the schedule because they list this week's as "Muirfield Golf Club" and next week's as "Muirfield Village GC" but I have it on good authority from some of the best people that they are in fact one in the same. So that means we have some solid historical performance data on this track and next week we'll have even more. Neat.

In an effort to right the ship, we're going almost completely chalk with Patrick Cantlay and Justin Rose at the top. Collin Morikawa is a bit of a stretch because he's never played a tournament here before but Matthew Wolff had only played Detroit Golf Club once and missed the cut and that didn't seem to bother him last week. Besides, Morikawa just took a rare week off so he should be ready to roll but if you're not comfortable picking essentially a rookie, then save yourself a few nickels and drop down to Marc Leishman or the expert on stretching a dollar himself, Matt Kuchar. 

The middle tier includes a lot of all or nothing guys like Phil Mickelson, Jason Day and Louis Oosthuizen but I can't afford to gamble that aggressively this week because my reputation is at stake! (Just making sure you're paying attention). I need to earn my way back so I'm going with three safer options in Ben An, Kevin Streelman and Joel Dahmen who will get you where you need to go even if it feels like you listened to the Bridge on Sirius the whole way there . . . "and that was Bread with their hit Everything I Own which will definitely be blaring from the speakers that accompany the four horsemen of the apocalypse." 

Jason Dufner, Keegan Bradley and Charl Schwartzel all received strong consideration for the bottom three based on their past success here but I'm not feeling any of them. Instead it's the firm of Grillo, Stanley and Holmes. Emiliano has been really consistent at Murifield Village GC LLC BYOB and Stanley has shown that when he's on, he can tear it up on this track. As for J.B. Holmes, I feel like I blow him off for no good reason and he always makes me pay at places he clearly feels comfortable like Muirfield, Riviera and Torrey Pines. Well  that's not happening during reinvention week. No sir.  

Hey while we're addressing statues,can 
we get this kid to tuck-in his damn shirt?
One and Done Pick: Justin Rose

Other Guy I'd Pick: Patrick Cantlay


Sleeper Pick: J.B. Holmes


DraftKings Top Ten Values


Patrick Cantlay
$10,600
Justin Rose
$9,700
Collin Morikawa
$9,200
Matt Kuchar
$8,500
Byeon Hun An
$7,900
Kevin Streelman
$7,800
Joel Dahmen
$7,700
Emiliano Grillo
$7,200
Kyle Stanley
$7,000
J.B. Holmes
$6,800

Just a reminder on the Historical Performance Chart that it only includes players priced at about $7,400+ and longer shots who warrant a look based on their recent play or past record at the host course. If you want to take Chez Reavie based on his one missed cut here in the last five years, that's your prerogative but I can't and won't condone it.

                      THE ANGRY FLORIDA MAN AIN'T WEARING NO FUCKING 
                       MASK AT COSTCO HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART


DK Price
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Justin Thomas
$11,100
MC
T8
T4
MC
MC
Jon Rahm
$10,900
DNP
DNP
MC
DNP
DNP
Patrick Cantlay
$10,600
1st
4th
T35
DNP
DNP
Xander Schauffele
$10,200
T14
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
Hideki Matsuyama
$10,000
6th
T13
T45
MC
T5
Justin Rose
$9,700
13th
T6
DNP
DNP
2nd
Viktor Hovland
$9,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brooks Koepka
$9,400
DNP
DNP
T31
DNP
T52
Collin Morikawa
$9,200
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Rickie Fowler
$9,000
T14
T8
T2
MC
MC
Sungjae Im
$8,900
T57
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Patrick Reed
$8,800
DNP
T29
T57
T8
T26
Marc Leishman
$8,700
5th
T62
T15
T11
T5
Jordan Spieth
$8,600
T7
MC
T13
T57
T3
Matt Kuchar
$8,500
MC
T13
T4
T4
T26
Joaquin Niemann
$8,400
T27
T6
DNP
DNP
DNP
Gary Woodland
$8,300
T52
T23
T49
T4
MC
Adam Hadwin
$8,200
T52
T74
MC
T11
T57
Matthew Wolff
$8,100
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Bubba Watson
$8,000
DNP
T44
T6
T65
DNP
Matthew Fitzpatrick
$8,000
T68
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Byeon Hun An
$7,900
T17
T2
T25
T11
DNP
Louis Oosthuizen
$7,900
T57
T13
DNP
DNP
DNP
Kevin Streelman
$7,800
4th
T44
T13
T8
T18
Phil Mickelson
$7,800
MC
T13
T22
T20
T65
Scottie Scheffler
$7,800
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Cameron Champ
$7,700
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Jason Day
$7,700
MC
T44
T15
T27
MC
Joel Dahmen
$7,700
T68
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brandt Snedeker
$7,600
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Corey Connors
$7,600
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Jason Kokrak
$7,600
T57
MC
T35
MC
MC
Billy Horschel
$7,500
T9
MC
MC
DNP
T11
Harold Varner, III
$7,500
DNP
DNP
T19
T57
DNP
Ian Poulter
$7,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Maverick McNealy
$7,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Rory Sabbatini
$7,400
T27
T44
DNP
DNP
T24
Ryan Armour
$7,400
T22
DNP
MC
DNP
DNP
Shane Lowry
$7,400
DNP
T52
T15
DNP
DNP
Patrick Rodgers
$7,300
DNP
T13
T67
MC
T40
Russell Henley
$7,300
DNP
T29
DNP
T33
MC
Scott Stallings
$7,300
T48
DNP
DNP
DNP
MC
Emiliano Grillo
$7,200
T9
T23
T40
T11
DNP
Ryan Palmer
$7,200
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brendan Steele
$7,100
T41
DNP
T57
T20
T63
Brian Stuard
$7,100
T33
DNP
T52
DNP
T61
Bud Cauley
$7,100
T9
MC
T25
T38
DNP
Keegan Bradley
$7,100
MC
T23
MC
T8
T8
Max Homa
$7,100
T37
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Zach Johnson
$7,100
DNP
T40
T40
DNP
DNP
Charles Howell, III
$7,000
MC
T65
DNP
T48
T31
Kyle Stanley
$7,000
MC
T2
T6
DNP
DNP
Luke List
$7,000
MC
T37
MC
DNP
DNP
Charley Hoffman
$6,900
MC
MC
T45
DNP
DNP
Jim Furyk
$6,900
T33
MC
MC
T52
T5
J.B. Holmes
$6,800
MC
T13
MC
T4
DNP
Jason Dufner
$6,800
T7
MC
1st
T33
T24
Russell Knox
$6,600
T27
T44
T65
64th
T18
Sung Kang
$6,500
MC
T57
75th
DNP
DNP
Charl Schwartzel
$6,400
DNP
DNP
T35
T11
MC

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com

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