Wednesday, January 15, 2020

Fantasy Golf: The American Express Preview

So I actually kind of knew what I was talking about last week and, if you had been able to glean the best line-up from my ten recommendations (and filled-in your own low price guys because mine stunk), you could've fielded part of a really strong team with Cameron Smith (1st), Webb Simpson (3rd), Lanto Griffin (T7), Charles Howell, III (T12), Sungjae Im (T21) and Colin Morikawa (T21). I at least hope that you heeded my advice on avoiding the completely obvious Justin Thomas trap. Look I can't help you if you don't listen to me.  

In addition to my almost stellar golf picks, I wrote a NFL Divisional Round Preview that was so weak as to be not worth publishing (yeah imagine how weak that must've been) in which I picked the Chiefs, Titans and 49ers to cover so I'm on a bit of a roll. You'll just have to take my word for it. We can build on this! 

But first . . . 

TWEET OF THE WEEK


Normally I'm not so self-aggrandizing as to feature one of my own tweets here but the only one that rivaled this effort by me was a guy who wanted to ask Neil DeGrasse Tyson why every time he blows his nose in the shower it ends-up on his junk. I'm giving this effort a slight nod over that.

EXPERT LIKE GOLF ANALYSIS

This is a tough week for highly experienced fantasy golf experts like myself because, as you will see in the chart below, the good players don't make a habit of stopping in the desert on their way back from Hawaii. Add to that the fact that the top two spots on the leaderboard over the past five years have been populated by the likes of Adam Long, Hudson Swafford, Andrew Landry, Sung Joon Park and Steve Wheatcroft a/k/a five guys you couldn't pick out of a ten man lineup if the other five guys were the starters for the Detroit Pistons. 

And this year we have the added problem of Adam Hadwin skipping the event. He was by far the most reliable pick here and his absence this week represents the first time in recorded history when we must ask ourselves "oh my God what are we going to do without the Canadian?"

Well I'll tell you what we're going to do. Ignore conventional wisdom and play a bunch of educated hunches. Charles Howell, III is our one chalky pick but then we're getting creative with Scottie Scheffler who's got a bit of Phil Mickelson in him which will serve him well at this birdie-fest. From there we're going to lean on guys playing well (hey savvy strategy) like Jason Kokrak, Abraham Ancer and Brendan Steele who has the added benefit of some relatively consistent success at the Stadium Course. Oh by the way, if you waste a one and done pick on Rickie Fowler or Paul Casey this week, I will find you and I will shame you. Publicly.  

Sorry JB. Readership is up so I'm not ready to
revert to click-bait pics but you know it's coming.
One and Done Pick: Scottie Scheffler

Other Guy I'd Pick: Abraham Ancer


Sleeper Pick: Bill Haas


DraftKings Top Ten Values


Charles Howell, III
$10,100
Scottie Scheffler
$9,500
Jason Kokrak
$9,100
Abraham Ancer
$8,900
J.T. Poston
$8,500
Russell Knox
$8,100
Brendan Steele
$7,500
Bud Cauley
$7,300
Nate Lashley
$7,200
Bill Haas
$6,700

If your a professional golfer and you've had any kind of success here in the past, congratulations. You're one of our sleeper picks this week. And yes, I'm going to keep going back to that Bill Haas well on courses where he has won until I prove to myself that I didn't drain the magic from his putting stroke when I shook his hand by the booze cart four years ago. "Hi I'm Ron . . . can I get two double Ketel One Transfusions and four Bud Lights please." 


            THE JOHN HARBAUGH LET'S NOT DEVIATE FROM PLAN "A"
                               HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART


DK Price
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Rickie Fowler
$11,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Sungjae Im
$11,000
T12
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Paul Casey
$10,700
DNP
DNP
T58
DNP
MC
Tony Finau
$10,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
MC
T59
Ben An
$10,300
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Charles Howell
$10,100
T34
T20
T12
T11
T56
Kevin Kisner
$9,900
T57
T50
T25
DNP
MC
Billy Horschel
$9,700
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
T41
Scottie Scheffler
$9,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Cameron Champ
$9,300
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
F. Molinari
$9,200
DNP
DNP
T12
T62
T10
Jason Kokrak
$9,100
T18
T8
DNP
MC
T48
Matthew Wolff
$9,000
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Abraham Ancer
$8,900
T18
76th
DNP
MC
DNP
Brendon Todd
$8,800
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
MC
Phil Mickelson
$8,700
T2
MC
T21
T3
T24
Brian Harman
$8,600
MC
T20
T3
T11
DNP
J.T. Poston
$8,500
T7
MC
T34
DNP
DNP
Alex Noren
$8,400
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Ryan Moore
$8,300
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
W/D
Lucas Glover
$8,200
T12
T29
T41
T17
DNP
Russell Knox
$8,100
T18
T29
DNP
DNP
MC
Chez Reavie
$8,000
T28
T36
T12
T17
MC
Vaughn Taylor
$7,900
T7
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
Andrew Putnam
$7,800
T34
T17
DNP
DNP
MC
Kevin Na
$7,800
DNP
T42
T70
T3
DNP
Harris English
$7,700
T51
T11
DNP
DNP
T30
Zach Johnson
$7,700
T28
T20
MC
MC
MC
Rory Sabbatini
$7,600
DNP
DNP
T72
DNP
DNP
Brendan Steele
$7,500
T57
T20
T6
T34
T2
Daniel Berger
$7,500
T12
DNP
DNP
DNP
MC
Scott Piercy
$7,400
T57
T6
T41
DNP
T30
Bud Cauley
$7,300
MC
T14
T3
T14
DNP
Adam Long
$7,200
1st
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Nate Lashley
$7,200
T12
T29
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brian Stuard
$7,100
T40
MC
MC
DNP
MC
Brian Gay
$7,000
DNP
T42
MC
MC
DNP
Si Woo Kim
$7,000
T40
DNP
DNP
T9
DNP
Johnny Vegas
$6,800
69th
T11
T34
MC
MC
Bill Haas
$6,700
MC
MC
T17
T9
1st

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com.

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