Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Fantasy Golf: The Valero Texas Open Preview

I got nothing this week. No historically bad rounds. No work-related anecdotes. No bar fights. Just a pedestrian 76 on Saturday, a few strongly worded emails to dimwitted customers and the usual glares and F-bombs for those on the Baltimore beltway who think they possess left lane ambition but clearly don't. Listen-up people, the left lane is for criminals . . . the left lane is for deviants . . . the left lane is for vigilantes.  

Speaking of ambition, I need to find some for these golf picks. This is getting a bit out of control as I wasn't even in the vicinity of a winning pick last week. If good gambling advice was VIP parking, I was five miles away in Lot QQ waiting for a shuttle bus that broke down two hours ago.  

GOLF ANALYSIS

With that being said, I'm so confident that this is where Denny McCarthy gets his first win that I'm picking him to do that AND finish in the top five ("who's gonna tell him?"). TPC San Antonio is a silly golf course that rewards his style of play along with that of guys like Corey Conners and Charley Hoffman. It's basically a red carpet for "C" list players. 

I toyed with the idea of Jordan Spieth here and still am. He's back to the place where you should probably use him somewhere and this seems like as a good a place as any. I'm going to need to see more before he's back to being my British Open lock but frankly this season feels like a messy Jordan Spieth round so maybe it's meant to be. 

Place

Player

Odds

Winner

Denny McCarthy

+2800

Top 5

Denny McCarthy

+500

Top 10

Bud Cauley

+400

Top 10

Charley Hoffman

+500

Top 20

Chandler Phillips

+550


One and Done Pick: Denny McCarthy
A fitting pick as we enter a
new era of McCarthyism.

Other Guy I'd Pick: Corey Conners 

Sleeper Pick: Chandler Phillips 

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Corey Conners

$10,100

Jordan Spieth

$9,700

Denny McCarthy

$9,000

Si Woo Kim

$8,700

Bud Cauley

$8,300

Maverick McNealy

$8,100

Gary Woodland

$7,800

Charley Hoffman

$7,400

Beau Hossler

$7,200

Chandler Phillips

$6,600


Email the Fantasy Golf Report here.

Say what you will about the unique career of Val Kilmer but there may not be another actor in history who could've pulled-off Doc Holiday, Jim Morrison AND Iceman (along with the iconic role referenced below). Throw in Heat and True Romance . . . holy shit what a great ride. In Vino Veritas!

                                   THE CHRIS KNIGHT MEMORIAL
                              HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART 

Not mentioned above but also worthy of consideration are Matt Kuchar, Adam Schenk and Ben Martin who have combined for seven top tens in the last five tournaments at this dog track. Please note, however, that they are longshots for a reason. 

 

DK Price

2024

2023

2022

2021

2019

Ludvig Aberg

$10,800

T14

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Tommy Fleetwood

$10,700

T7

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Patrick Cantlay

$10,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Corey Conners

$10,100

T25

1st

T35

T14

1st

Hideki Matsuyama

$9,900

T7

T15

W/D

T30

DNP

Jordan Spieth

$9,700

T10

DNP

T35

1st

T30

Keegan Bradley

$9,500

DNP

DNP

T8

T23

DNP

Akshay Bhatia

$9,300

1st

T46

DNP

MC

DNP

Daniel Berger

$9,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

Denny McCarthy

$9,000

2nd

DNP

T18

T34

MC

Keith Mitchell

$8,900

T14

DNP

DNP

T17

DNP

Tony Finau

$8,800

DNP

DNP

T29

MC

T61

Si Woo Kim

$8,700

DNP

T39

T13

T23

T4

Sam Burns

$8,600

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

T23

J.T. Poston

$8,500

DNP

DNP

T41

T67

T67

Tom Kim

$8,400

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Bud Cauley

$8,300

T39

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

Jacob Bridgeman

$8,200

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Maverick McNealy

$8,100

T58

DNP

T35

DNP

DNP

Sam Stevens

$8,000

T14

2nd

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ben Griffin

$7,900

T39

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jake Knapp

$7,900

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Matt Fitzpatrick

$7,800

T10

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Gary Woodland

$7,800

DNP

DNP

T8

T6

DNP

Rickie Fowler

$7,700

MC

T10

MC

T17

T17

Harry Hall

$7,700

T58

T28

DNP

DNP

DNP

Kurt Kitayama

$7,600

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ryan Gerard

$7,600

DNP

T56

DNP

DNP

DNP

Brian Harman

$7,500

T25

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

Lee Hodges

$7,500

MC

T6

MC

DNP

DNP

Andrew Novak

$7,500

T58

9th

MC

DNP

DNP

Ryan Fox

$7,500

MC

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Patrick Rodgers

$7,400

W/D

5th

T58

MC

DNP

Charley Hoffman

$7,400

T69

T22

MC

2nd

2nd

Tom Hoge

$7,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

T12

MC

Matt Kuchar

$7,300

MC

T3

T2

T12

T7

Alex Smalley

$7,300

MC

MC

MC

DNP

DNP

Justin Rose

$7,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Seamus Power

$7,300

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

Eric Cole

$7,200

MC

T39

DNP

DNP

DNP

Beau Hossler

$7,200

T78

T46

T4

T69

T36

Andrew Putnam

$7,200

T14

T28

T41

MC

T36

Sam Ryder

$7,200

MC

T3

DNP

MC

T42

Thor Olesen

$7,200

T14

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jesper Svensson

$7,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Victor Perez

$7,100

T45

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Matt Wallace

$7,100

DNP

T28

MC

3rd

DNP

Mac Meissner

$7,100

T10

DNP

DNP

MC

DNP

Cameron Young

$7,100

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Max Homa

$7,000

T25

DNP

DNP

DNP

T42

Doug Ghim

$7,000

MC

MC

MC

T44

DNP

Matti Schmid

$7,000

T69

T46

DNP

DNP

DNP

Chan Kim

$7,000

T14

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ryo Hisatune

$7,000

T78

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Max McGreavy

$7,000

DNP

MC

MC

DNP

DNP

Emiliano Grillo

$6,900

DNP

T53

DNP

DNP

DNP

Joel Dahmen

$6,900

MC

DNP

DNP

74th

T69

Alejandro Tosti

$6,900

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Erik Van Rooyen

$6,800

MC

MC

DNP

T14

DNP

Adam Schenk

$6,700

T5

MC

MC

MC

T7

Ben Martin

$6,700

T7

T10

T63

T34

DNP

Mark Hubbard

$6,600

T25

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Chandler Phillips

$6,600

MC

T64

DNP

DNP

DNP

Lanto Griffin

$6,500

T51

T15

T53

T34

DNP

Luke List

$6,500

DNP

T39

T53

T17

MC

Nate Lashley

$6,400

T39

MC

T18

MC

DNP

1 comment:

lee ho fook said...

You are forgetting Top Secret and Willow. The cameo in Entourage is very watchable as well. Keep the faith Ponyboy