Wednesday, August 19, 2020

Fantasy Golf: The Northern Trust Preview

Earlier this week I was walking through a Target buying my weekly supply of carrots, hummus, gum, M&M's, almonds and coffee creamer (the things that fuel the FGR along with Bud Light and angst) and I found myself making eye contact and saying "hey" to everyone else in the store. And not just a passing "hey" but more like a "hey, it's great to fucking see you fellow human . . . get over here and give me a hug!" This is what it has come to.

It probably helped that I was wearing a red shirt so a couple people asked me where things like the toothpaste and motor oil were. On the third such a occasion I told an elderly man that the vacuum bags were in the far corner of the store just past the cat food but before you get to the dildos. He politely thanked me and moved on. I believe that it's these subtle interactions that will save us.  

Hey it's playoff season in golf! Well come on! Can't you feel it?!?! We'll get you all fired-up right after this . . . 

TWEET OF THE WEEK

When last I wrote, I was sweating various parts of myself off in the southern United States preparing to abandon my son at college. Five days plus 2,200 miles later and that dream thankfully lives on . . . for now. Others have not been as fortunate and would have been wise to heed the warning of one of the great philosophers of our time . . . 

"Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth." - Mike Tyson


GOLF ANALYSIS FOR JACK IS A DULL BOY (UH OH)

A bit of a stumble last week with Brendon Todd but hey, I also gave you Billy Horschel (2nd), Webb Simpson (T3), Harold Varner, III, (T7), Bud Cauley (T15) and Talor Gooch (T25) so hopefully you were able to parlay that into some lunch money. Or a COVID test. Or some ecstasy. 


This week we head back to TPC Boston after taking a year off so the PGA Tour could shuffle its schedule to avoid football season. Mission accomplished! The good news is that we have several years of data from this course and a lot of it is promising as the last three winners there were Bryson DeMeatHammer, Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy. Others with solid track records in the land of the deplorable include Dustin Johnson, Paul Casey and Patrick Reed who continues to thrive in this new fan-less environment to which he was already accustomed. 


Bryson is due for another win or at worst a top five so use him if you got him. I'm going to pass on the rest of the favorites and drop down to the next tier for Jason Day, Daniel Berger, Tony Finau and Paul Casey, all of whom are playing well as of late. I will be shocked, shocked I tell you if at least two of them aren't contending on Sunday (with the usual caveat that Casey won't, under any circumstances, win). 

Tyrrell Hatton is kind of a safety pick despite him shafting me by missing the cut at the PGA Championship while Billy Horschel and Matthew Wolff are momentum picks. Especially Horschel who finished runner-up last week. Remember that he makes all of his money in random three week stretches and then disappears like the bad guys in Point Break (or were they the "bad guys"?) so you need to jump on him before he goes chasing the 50 year storm . . . Bodhi. 

Ben An isn't a true sleeper at $7,300 but he's a solid filler at that price coming-off a T22 and a T12 at the PGA Championship and the WGC-FedEx. And finally we needed a bargain guy because the top ten was a little bloated in the middle this week so let's go with the ultimate super flyer in Pat Perez. Sure he may withdraw again like he did at the Dell Technologies Championship in 2018 and at the Wyndham Championship last week but he had a nice stretch leading-up to that and he finished T6 here in 2017. Not to mention, if you're going to start a golf preview by talking about dildos, you might as well end it by talking about Pat Perez. (We kid because we love Pat Perez).    

This intolerable human sandbag 
is probably going to win so we just
have to learn to deal with it.
One and Done Pick: Jason Day

Other Guy I'd Pick: Bryson DeChambeau


Sleeper Pick: Byeong Hun An


Draftkings Top Ten Values


Bryson DeChambeau
$11,100
Jason Day
$9,300
Daniel Berger
$8,900
Tony Finau
$8,800
Paul Casey
$8,500
Tyrrell Hatton
$8,000
Billy Horschel
$7,900
Matthew Wolff
$7,800
Byeong Hun An
$7,300
Pat Perez
$6,400

Normally I try to edit this Historical Performance Chart down a bit but this week I seriously considered picking every single one of these 72 guys. You know the isolation is starting to get to you when you stare at Lanto Griffin's name for three minutes and think "Lanto? Maybe? Lanto? I don't know. Lanto? Nah. But wait. Lanto?" And on that note, I'm going to play the dog in backgammon. Line 'em up Charlie!
  

                                       THE I NEVER WANT TO HEAR THE 
                                       FUCKING WORD "BUBBLE" AGAIN
                                     HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART


DK Price
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Justin Thomas
$11,300
T24
1st
MC
T56
DNP
B. DeChambeau
$11,100
1st
T30
DNP
DNP
DNP
Rory McIlroy
$10,800
T12
MC
1st
T29
T5
Dustin Johnson
$10,400
T7
T18
T8
T44
DNP
Collin Morikawa
$10,200
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Jon Rahm
$10,000
T43
T4
DNP
DNP
DNP
Xander Schauffele
$9,700
T49
T53
DNP
T44
DNP
Webb Simpson
$9,500
T49
T75
MC
T44
T9
Jason Day
$9,300
MC
T23
T15
T12
T7
Patrick Cantlay
$9,200
T24
T13
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brooks Koepka
$9,100
T12
T18
T57
MC
DNP
Patrick Reed
$9,000
T35
T6
T5
T4
T74
Daniel Berger
$8,900
T35
T61
T41
T12
DNP
Tony Finau
$8,800
T4
T65
T24
MC
DNP
Tiger Woods
$8,700
T24
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Hideki Matsuyama
$8,600
T4
T23
T15
T25
T57
Paul Casey
$8,500
T21
T4
2nd
W/D
DNP
Adam Scott
$8,400
T49
MC
4th
DNP
T16
Tommy Fleetwood
$8,300
T24
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Viktor Hovland
$8,200
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Matthew Fitzpatrick
$8,100
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Scottie Scheffler
$8,100
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Justin Rose
$8,000
2nd
T10
T57
MC
DNP
Tyrrell Hatton
$8,000
T12
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Billy Horschel
$7,900
W/D
MC
MC
72nd
T2
Rickie Fowler
$7,900
DNP
T13
T46
1st
T23
Gary Woodland
$7,800
T24
T18
T15
T12
T29
Jordan Spieth
$7,800
T12
2nd
T21
MC
T29
Matthew Wolff
$7,800
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Abraham Ancer
$7,700
T7
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Sungjae Im
$7,700
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Cameron Champ
$7,600
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Harris English
$7,600
DNP
DNP
T41
T12
MC
Kevin Kisner
$7,600
T24
T53
T46
T12
DNP
Brendon Todd
$7,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
T44
MC
Louis Oosthuizen
$7,500
T31
T30
T8
T12
DNP
Shane Lowry
$7,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Doc Redman
$7,400
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Harold Varner, III
$7,400
DNP
T47
T33
DNP
DNP
Marc Leishman
$7,400
T21
3rd
T46
MC
T65
Matt Kuchar
$7,400
T43
T56
T46
T9
T29
Byeong Hun An
$7,300
T24
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Phil Mickelson
$7,300
T12
T6
MC
T65
T45
Russell Henley
$7,300
T58
T40
MC
MC
T2
Ryan Palmer
$7,300
MC
DNP
T24
T65
T16
Adam Hadwin
$7,200
T21
T13
T46
DNP
DNP
Bubba Watson
$7,200
T7
T69
MC
T29
T29
Ian Poulter
$7,200
MC
T23
DNP
T33
T23
Alex Noren
$7,100
T43
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Chez Reavie
$7,100
MC
T61
MC
DNP
DNP
Joel Dahmen
$7,100
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Ryan Moore
$7,100
T71
W/D
T8
MC
73rd
Emiliano Grillo
$7,000
T7
22nd
T33
DNP
DNP
Max Homa
$7,000
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brandt Snedeker
$6,900
T31
DNP
T46
T44
MC
Cameron Smith
$6,900
3rd
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
Corey Connors
$6,900
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Lucas Glover
$6,900
DNP
T30
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brendan Steele
$6,800
MC
T56
72nd
DNP
T50
Brian Harman
$6,800
T49
T65
T24
T12
T65
Kevin Na
$6,800
MC
T6
DNP
T60
MC
Zach Johnson
$6,800
MC
T56
T57
T22
T16
Charles Howell, III
$6,700
T58
MC
T24
T56
T35
Kevin Streelman
$6,700
MC
T35
T57
T69
T26
Lanto Griffin
$6,700
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Bud Cauley
$6,600
DNP
T47
DNP
DNP
DNP
Keegan Bradley
$6,600
T49
T35
DNP
T25
T16
Charley Hoffman
$6,500
74th
T47
MC
3rd
MC
Patrick Rodgers
$6,500
DNP
T73
T46
DNP
DNP
Richie Werenski
$6,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Rory Sabbatini
$6,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
T22
DNP
Talor Gooch
$6,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Pat Perez
$6,400
W/D
T6
DNP
T29
W/D

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com.

No comments: