So we're back to work here at FGR Command Central with a skeletal crew (which is just me dressed as a member of the Cobra Kai at Halloween). We've finished Clorox wiping the shit out of our refrigerator sized super computer known affectionately as "Feherty's Ego" and, in addition to making sure it's virus free, we've been busy re-writing the algorithms and doing extra research on things like "what are algorithms?" and "what kind of wine pairs well with Frosted Flakes?" and "wait, what are algorithms again?" so that our predictions account for the unprecedented ten week layoff during what is normally a peak stretch of the season.
We actually had to go back and review The Players Championship Preview to remember what random format we had settled-on for this year and to create a cheap reason to get people to click on the link for it. It also gave us an opportunity to bask in the glory of the last picks we made before life as we know it stopped and we know this from the line "Let us take an extra moment to bask in the glory of those picks . . ." Now we need to pick-up where we left off and overcome that age old maxim that nothing kills momentum like a slow-rolling pandemic that no one saw coming like a guy trying to outrun a steamroller . . . JUST GET OUT OF THE ROAD MAN!!!!
But first, this . . .
TWEET OF THE WEEK FROM SEVEN WEEKS AGO
So many interesting topics we could go with here based on current events but I promised myself that this preview would be all about golf and fun and what's more fun than the thought of football in the fall in front of socially distanced crowds comprised only of suite owners and people who can afford $1,000 tickets for one of the 8,000 seats in the stadium (sorry, couldn't help myself) . . .
RUSTY GOLF ANALYSIS . . . QUITE RUSTY
The fundamental questions we have to ask ourselves and the players this week are (a) "who's ready?" and (b) "who is going to play like they give a shit?" Take Dustin Johnson for example. The last time we saw him at Seminole he played like he was on the 6th place team in the final nine-hole match of the Winged Foot flight and his guest just spent three days complaining about the food, the free shirt and his tennis elbow. (For the record, I have never complained about my tennis elbow but for fuck's sake don't skimp on the shrimp and give us a decent shirt). I'm thinking that DJ is treating this like a two to four day practice round and I kind of have a feeling that Rory, JT and Brooks may have a similar mindset.
So who will be the anti-DJ be this week? Who will show-up ready to play with a little fire in his belly? The obvious answer would be the forgotten man Jordan Spieth who had slipped to 56th in the world before we all started hiding in bunkers. No one needed the X-Men to freeze the golf world for ten weeks more than he did so that he could work on this game while not having to display the tragic condition of it in tournaments while racking-up missed cuts and finishes outside the top 50. And he couldn't have asked for a better course to come back to than Colonial C.C. where he has a win, two runner-ups and a tie for 8th since 2015. I know players just up and lose it but I don't think he's that guy. Of course I thought Ian Baker-Finch was going to be better than Nick Faldo so make of that assessment what you will.
Who else? Well Jon Rahm is arguably the best player in the world and finished top five here in 2017 and 2018 so he's our headliner. Webb Simpson has been on a ridiculous roll since the WGC-FeDex St. Jude Invitational last July and also has two top fives in his last three trips here so he's our number two (hahahaha you just called Webb a poop). Please forgive me as I've been quarantined with two teenage boys and my increasingly immature self. The over/under on poop jokes in this preview was actually 2.5. Of course we're not done yet.
This is also a nice spot for the young dudes who may have been a bit more motivated to prepare for a regular Tour event than their well-heeled private jetting brethren. Sungjae Im has two wins and two 3rd place finishes in his last twelve tournaments, Collin Morikawa still hasn't missed a cut on Tour and Max Homa is really funny on Twitter.
One and Done Pick: Jordan Spieth
Other Guy I'd Pick: Jon Rahm
Sleeper Pick: Corey Connors
DraftKings Top Ten Values
Generally we try to pare-down the historical performance chart and separate the wheat from the chaff (inexplicable farmer talk) with no positive track record on the course and no sign that they've got a top twenty in them but this is an odd week so we're throwing almost everyone in there to let you make your own choices. Two guys I like for no real good reason are Scottie Scheffler and Harry Higgs. They also strike me as two guys I'd like to get hammered with and wake-up on a random couch with a friend's dog sleeping on my feet which absolutely has not happened to me more than once during the pandemic.
THE WHERE'S WALDO FAUCI
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART
* Note that I originally had Brooks Koepka as a DNP in 2018 but, not only did he play, he finished 2nd. This information probably would've been more useful if the tournament hadn't started 40 minutes ago.
Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com.
We actually had to go back and review The Players Championship Preview to remember what random format we had settled-on for this year and to create a cheap reason to get people to click on the link for it. It also gave us an opportunity to bask in the glory of the last picks we made before life as we know it stopped and we know this from the line "Let us take an extra moment to bask in the glory of those picks . . ." Now we need to pick-up where we left off and overcome that age old maxim that nothing kills momentum like a slow-rolling pandemic that no one saw coming like a guy trying to outrun a steamroller . . . JUST GET OUT OF THE ROAD MAN!!!!
But first, this . . .
TWEET OF THE WEEK FROM SEVEN WEEKS AGO
So many interesting topics we could go with here based on current events but I promised myself that this preview would be all about golf and fun and what's more fun than the thought of football in the fall in front of socially distanced crowds comprised only of suite owners and people who can afford $1,000 tickets for one of the 8,000 seats in the stadium (sorry, couldn't help myself) . . .
how the panthers envision christian mccaffrey in their offense with his new contract pic.twitter.com/8KBrRHsulC— Trevor Sikkema (@TampaBayTre) April 18, 2020
RUSTY GOLF ANALYSIS . . . QUITE RUSTY
The fundamental questions we have to ask ourselves and the players this week are (a) "who's ready?" and (b) "who is going to play like they give a shit?" Take Dustin Johnson for example. The last time we saw him at Seminole he played like he was on the 6th place team in the final nine-hole match of the Winged Foot flight and his guest just spent three days complaining about the food, the free shirt and his tennis elbow. (For the record, I have never complained about my tennis elbow but for fuck's sake don't skimp on the shrimp and give us a decent shirt). I'm thinking that DJ is treating this like a two to four day practice round and I kind of have a feeling that Rory, JT and Brooks may have a similar mindset.
So who will be the anti-DJ be this week? Who will show-up ready to play with a little fire in his belly? The obvious answer would be the forgotten man Jordan Spieth who had slipped to 56th in the world before we all started hiding in bunkers. No one needed the X-Men to freeze the golf world for ten weeks more than he did so that he could work on this game while not having to display the tragic condition of it in tournaments while racking-up missed cuts and finishes outside the top 50. And he couldn't have asked for a better course to come back to than Colonial C.C. where he has a win, two runner-ups and a tie for 8th since 2015. I know players just up and lose it but I don't think he's that guy. Of course I thought Ian Baker-Finch was going to be better than Nick Faldo so make of that assessment what you will.
Who else? Well Jon Rahm is arguably the best player in the world and finished top five here in 2017 and 2018 so he's our headliner. Webb Simpson has been on a ridiculous roll since the WGC-FeDex St. Jude Invitational last July and also has two top fives in his last three trips here so he's our number two (hahahaha you just called Webb a poop). Please forgive me as I've been quarantined with two teenage boys and my increasingly immature self. The over/under on poop jokes in this preview was actually 2.5. Of course we're not done yet.
This is also a nice spot for the young dudes who may have been a bit more motivated to prepare for a regular Tour event than their well-heeled private jetting brethren. Sungjae Im has two wins and two 3rd place finishes in his last twelve tournaments, Collin Morikawa still hasn't missed a cut on Tour and Max Homa is really funny on Twitter.
Max reminds me of "Hi and Lois" because he makes me laugh. |
Other Guy I'd Pick: Jon Rahm
Sleeper Pick: Corey Connors
DraftKings Top Ten Values
Jon Rahm
|
$11,000
|
Webb Simpson
|
$9,800
|
Sungjae Im
|
$9,300
|
Collin Morikawa
|
$9,100
|
Jordan Spieth
|
$8,000
|
Kevin Na
|
$7,600
|
Max Homa
|
$7,500
|
Joaquin Niemann
|
$7,400
|
Corey Connors
|
$7,100
|
Scott Piercy
|
$6,800
|
Generally we try to pare-down the historical performance chart and separate the wheat from the chaff (inexplicable farmer talk) with no positive track record on the course and no sign that they've got a top twenty in them but this is an odd week so we're throwing almost everyone in there to let you make your own choices. Two guys I like for no real good reason are Scottie Scheffler and Harry Higgs. They also strike me as two guys I'd like to get hammered with and wake-up on a random couch with a friend's dog sleeping on my feet which absolutely has not happened to me more than once during the pandemic.
THE WHERE'S WALDO FAUCI
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART
DK Price
|
2019
|
2018
|
2017
|
2016
|
2015
|
|
Rory McIlroy
|
$11,800
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Jon Rahm
|
$11,000
|
MC
|
T5
|
T2
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Justin Thomas
|
$10,600
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
B. DeChambeau
|
$10,100
|
MC
|
T42
|
MC
|
MC
|
DNP
|
Webb Simpson
|
$9,800
|
DNP
|
MC
|
5th
|
T3
|
DNP
|
Brooks Koepka
|
$9,700
|
DNP
|
2nd*
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Xander Schauffele
|
$9,600
|
MC
|
MC
|
T48
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Dustin Johnson
|
$9,500
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Rickie Fowler
|
$9,400
|
MC
|
T14
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Sungjae Im
|
$9,300
|
MC
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Patrick Reed
|
$9,200
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
T15
|
T33
|
Collin Morikawa
|
$9,100
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Justin Rose
|
$9,000
|
T58
|
1st
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Marc Leishman
|
$8,900
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
T34
|
T13
|
T27
|
Gary Woodland
|
$8,800
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Tony Finau
|
$8,700
|
2nd
|
DNP
|
T29
|
T39
|
T19
|
Shane Lowry
|
$8,600
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Matt Kuchar
|
$8,500
|
DNP
|
T32
|
T12
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Scottie Scheffler
|
$8,400
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Jason Day
|
$8,300
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
$8,200
|
T64
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Louis Oosthuizen
|
$8,100
|
DNP
|
T5
|
DNP
|
MC
|
W/D
|
Jordan Spieth
|
$8,000
|
T8
|
T32
|
T2
|
1st
|
T2
|
Sergio Garcia
|
$8,000
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
T12
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Viktor Hovland
|
$7,900
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Daniel Berger
|
$7,700
|
T53
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
MC
|
Kevin Kisner
|
$7,600
|
MC
|
T52
|
1ST
|
T10
|
T5
|
Kevin Na
|
$7,600
|
1st
|
4th
|
DNP
|
T42
|
T10
|
Harris English
|
$7,500
|
DNP
|
T20
|
T29
|
2nd
|
DNP
|
Joel Dahmen
|
$7,500
|
MC
|
T20
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Max Homa
|
$7,500
|
T27
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
MC
|
Ben An
|
$7,400
|
68th
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Billy Horschel
|
$7,400
|
T19
|
DNP
|
T34
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Joaquin Niemann
|
$7,400
|
T31
|
T8
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Matthew Wolf
|
$7,400
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Ryan Palmer
|
$7,400
|
T6
|
MC
|
T70
|
T3
|
MC
|
Abraham Ancer
|
$7,300
|
T58
|
T52
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Adam Hadwin
|
$7,300
|
DNP
|
T52
|
T53
|
T22
|
T5
|
Cameron Smith
|
$7,300
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
MC
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Ian Poulter
|
$7,300
|
T70
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
MC
|
T5
|
Phil Mickelson
|
$7,300
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
T29
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Bubba Watson
|
$7,200
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Danny Lee
|
$7,200
|
T48
|
T14
|
6th
|
T22
|
T10
|
Jason Kokrak
|
$7,200
|
DNP
|
T32
|
MC
|
T55
|
MC
|
Rory Sabbatini
|
$7,200
|
T6
|
T20
|
MC
|
DNP
|
T10
|
Russell Knox
|
$7,200
|
T8
|
T20
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
T24
|
Branden Grace
|
$7,100
|
T53
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Brendan Steele
|
$7,100
|
MC
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Chez Reavie
|
$7,100
|
MC
|
MC
|
T48
|
MC
|
DNP
|
Corey Connors
|
$7,100
|
T31
|
T8
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Emiliano Grillo
|
$7,100
|
T19
|
3rd
|
T24
|
T55
|
DNP
|
Erik Van Rooyen
|
$7,100
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Jim Furyk
|
$7,100
|
T13
|
T66
|
DNP
|
MC
|
DNP
|
Keegan Bradley
|
$7,100
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
MC
|
DNP
|
Charley Hoffman
|
$7,000
|
T13
|
T52
|
T24
|
T42
|
T10
|
Graeme McDowell
|
$7,000
|
73rd
|
DNP
|
T29
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Harry Higgs
|
$7,000
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
J.T. Poston
|
$7,000
|
MC
|
T20
|
T41
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Jason Dufner
|
$7,000
|
T40
|
MC
|
MC
|
T6
|
T43
|
Charles Howell, III
|
$6,900
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Harold Varner, III
|
$6,900
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
MC
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Kevin Streelman
|
$6,900
|
T31
|
76th
|
T18
|
MC
|
T58
|
Brendon Todd
|
$6,800
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
MC
|
T43
|
Bud Cauley
|
$6,800
|
MC
|
DNP
|
T41
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
C.T. Pan
|
$6,800
|
T3
|
T20
|
MC
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Scott Piercy
|
$6,800
|
T19
|
MC
|
T7
|
T67
|
T43
|
Zach Johnson
|
$6,800
|
MC
|
MC
|
T63
|
T17
|
T19
|
Jimmy Walker
|
$6,700
|
T19
|
T20
|
DNP
|
T29
|
T65
|
Kevin Tway
|
$6,700
|
T19
|
T5
|
T18
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Beau Hossler
|
$6,600
|
T40
|
T64
|
MC
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Vaughn Taylor
|
$6,600
|
T58
|
T20
|
T18
|
T55
|
DNP
|
Pat Perez
|
$6,500
|
W/D
|
T42
|
MC
|
DNP
|
T5
|
* Note that I originally had Brooks Koepka as a DNP in 2018 but, not only did he play, he finished 2nd. This information probably would've been more useful if the tournament hadn't started 40 minutes ago.
Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com.
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