Wednesday, May 1, 2019

The Wells Fargo Championship Preview

As my week of single parenting mercifully enters its final hours, I think this is a good time to sit back and reflect on what I have observed and what I have extrapolated from that which I have observed:

Observation: I have three children - ages 18, 15 and 11. Two of them kind of look like my wife and one kind of looks like me. The two who look like my wife really stepped-up their games this week by being fully prepared and ready for everything early, helping with the meals, taking care of the dog, etc. The one who looks like me got things rolling by sleeping through his ride to school on Friday. Then he came down with bullshit flu symptoms on Sunday night which required me to leave work early today so I could take him to the doctor and confirm that his flu symptoms were indeed bullshit.


Extrapolation: The one who looks like me will inevitably go to an Ivy League school, get a high-paying job on Wall Street and we'll never see him except at the occasional Christmas dinner when he skips Aspen and comes to our house with his wife and two sons Gage and Chrome. Then one day he will call me out of the blue and ask me to review his plea agreement with the Securities Exchange Commission. 


Observation: Donuts are by far the most cost effective way to feed your children.

Extrapolation: Donuts should be served at every meal. 

Observation: Cell phones have become indispensable tools in coordinating the logistics of modern family life. 

Extrapolation: The fact that we are no longer able to arrange meetings of small groups at predetermined places and times without the need for seventeen texts, a team dedicated group chat and a shared website means that the resistance is doomed when the aliens knock-out our electronic communication capabilities. And you know that's the first thing they're going to do. Fucking aliens.   

Observation: You can dump just about any meat into a pan with taco seasoning and come-out of it with a meal that makes you look like your'e not the world's most inept dad.

Extrapolation: I'm ok if Mexico doesn't send us their best people as long as they keep sending us their best spices. We are way on the winning side of that deal.  

Observation: My kids seem to have built force fields to shield themselves from my stress as their sense of urgency is inversely proportional to the level of my blood pressure.

Extrapolation: I need to figure-out a way to lower those shields Mr. Spock because don't they know the fucking aliens are coming?!?!  

I have no idea how I ended-up on this alien theme. Anxiety, sleep deprivation and CBD oil will do that. And now this . . . 

GOLFBABES TWEET OF THE WEEK

THIS WEEK'S ANALYSIS

I had a game plan coming into this year and so far it's been a dumpster fire on a disabled cruise ship but I've been looking to this week since late January as an opportunity to bust out of this funk. (Yes I have known since then that peril lay ahead). Rory is going to win this week. By a lot. He just has that "get the fuck out of my way I'm shooting 26 under" look about him these days and he really digs Quail Hollow. 


For your side salad, the options are Phil Mickelson, Rickie Fowler or Justin Rose, all of whom have displayed an affinity for the course. Rose is dead to me after the Masters so that leaves Rickie and Phil and I am taking the former because I think the latter is going to have Bethpage on this mind so he may be in tinkering mode. He should've won the 2009 U.S. Open there but, you're not going to believe this, stumbled down the stretch with bogeys on 15 and 17 to lose by two. 

As for the rest, I can only guarantee you two things: (1) Someone like Lucas Glover is going to finish top ten so I'm picking Lucas Glover and (2) a guy you've never heard of is going to finish top five and that guy is Joel Dahmen.  

Hey remember when they just played
a major here? (Yeah, me neither).
One and Done Pick: Rory McIlroy

Other Guy I'd Pick: Rickie Fowler


Sleeper Pick: Jonathan Byrd


DraftKings Top Ten Values 


Rory McIlroy
$11,800
Rickie Fowler
$10,600
Paul Casey
$9,500
Lucas Glover
$8,500
Charles Howell, III
$8,400
Aaron Wise
$8,100
Joel Dahmen
$7,600
Adam Hadwin
$7,200
Denny McCarthy
$7,000
Jonathan Byrd
$6,700

Not much to glean from recent performances as this event lacks that crew of low-level diehards who play all of the time and post the every other year top twenty. You can't see it below but Jonathan Byrd had a Phil Mickelson type run here around the turn of the last decade and he's playing reasonably well now. For what all of that is worth. 


                                  THE KRISPY KREME ORIGINAL GLAZED
                                     HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART


DK Price
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Rory McIlroy
$11,800
T16
DNP
T4
1st
T8
Jason Day
$11,000
1st
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Rickie Fowler
$10,600
T21
DNP
T4
DNP
T38
Justin Rose
$10,300
DNP
DNP
3rd
DNP
5th
Hideki Matsuyama
$10,100
T76
DNP
T11
T20
T38
Sergio Garcia
$9,900
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Webb Simpson
$9,700
T21
MC
MC
T2
T38
Paul Casey
$9,500
T5
T12
T41
DNP
DNP
Tony Finau
$9,300
T21
DNP
T28
DNP
DNP
Phil Mickelson
$9,100
T5
T18
T4
T4
T11
Gary Woodland
$9,000
MC
DNP
T24
T4
T18
Henrik Stenson
$8,900
DNP
DNP
MC
T58
DNP
Patrick Reed
$8,800
8th
T12
T28
T58
DNP
Jason Kokrak
$8,700
MC
T66
MC
MC
T23
SunGjae Im
$8,600
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Lucas Glover
$8,500
MC
T52
8th
T28
MC
Charles Howell, III
$8,400
T21
DNP
MC
T38
T18
Byeong Hun An
$8,300
T63
T8
MC
DNP
DNP
Johnny Vegas
$8,200
T42
DNP
T53
T76
MC
Aaron Wise
$8,100
T2
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Keegan Bradley
$8,000
T76
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Luke List
$8,000
T9
T42
MC
DNP
DNP
J.B. Holmes
$7,900
T42
T36
T53
MC
1st
Keith Mitchell
$7,800
T34
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Kevin Streelman
$7,700
MC
MC
MC
T9
T14
Rory Sabbatini
$7,700
T27
W/D
DNP
MC
T8
Joel Dahmen
$7,600
T16
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
Nick Watney
$7,600
T2
DNP
DNP
MC
MC
Kyle Stanley
$7,500
T13
DNP
MC
DNP
T60
Trey Mullinax
$7,500
MC
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
Adam Hadwin
$7,200
T16
DNP
T61
MC
DNP
Chesson Hadley
$7,000
T16
MC
T11
T20
DNP
Denny McCarthy
$7,000
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brian Harman
$6,800
74th
1st
T35
MC
T65
Jonathan Byrd
$6,700
MC
DNP
MC
MC
T14
Johnson Wagner
$6,700
T13
MC
T28
MC
68th

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com

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