Tuesday, May 3, 2016

Fantasy Golf: Wells Fargo Championship Preview

I would have normally devoted the last hour to writing some commentary for this week but I instead spent it researching every pick I'm going to make for every remaining tournament this year which in turn led me to wonder if I'm really making the best use of my time these days. At least it's keeping me off the streets or worse, from getting talked into going to see Deadpool by my conniving kid who rightly assessed that I could've been suckered into doing just about anything on this past crappy Sunday afternoon. (Great movie that definitely earns its "R" rating . . . every five minutes).* Thank God he didn't suggest we get facial tattoos.   

On the other hand, here is the list of "R" rated movies I saw in the theater when I was way younger than my grifter son (thanks to my best friend's very progressive parents) and look at all of the great things that I learned: Animal House (how to keep your left arm straight), The Warriors (how to run from a fight), North Dallas Forty (how to play sports drunk), Stir Crazy (why you should never dress-up as a woodpecker), Piranha (how to swim really fast), The Jerk (rhythm), Caddyshack (how to conduct oneself at a country club), The Blues Brothers (how to skip-out on a tab), Saturday Night Fever (how four dollars don't even buy three dollars today), Halloween (why you shouldn't take unwrapped candy from escaped mental patients) and Caligula (just kidding - didn't see that one . . . apparently they drew the line at Hollywood produced porn). And look how I turned-out. Right. Back to golf.     

Maybe I was just ducking the writing component this week because I'm really uncomfortable with my semi cop-out pick of Kevin Chappell when in my gut I feel like I should grow a pair of body parts (that I actually already have two of) and pick Rory McIlroy. But this year I made a plan and that plan currently has me in contention (with the top four players in the world still at my disposal) so, despite the little imaginary fast-talking prick sitting on my shoulder and yapping in my ear to make a bolder move, I am not going to waiver. 

Besides, Chappell is defensible right? He's got three top tens in his last four starts and his last two finishes at the Wells Fargo were T16th and T10th. If you're looking for a little more firepower, go with J.B. Holmes who's playing well and won here in 2014. The guy I would probably pick if I hadn't wasted him ten weeks ago is Patrick Reed and finally, if you just want to use the player with the most course knowledge, Webb Simpson is your man as he lives down the street from the course. Though the way he's been playing, I'm not sure he could win the Quail Hollow club championship at this point so proceed with caution. 

The Wells Fargo Odds
If you'd picked Rory, you could've gone
with the whole British WAGs theme.

1. Rory McIlroy - 4/1
2. Rickie Fowler - 14/1
3. Adam Scott - 18/1
4. Henrik Stenson - 22/1
5. Justin Rose - 25/1
5. J.B. Holmes - 25/1
5. Hideki Matsuyama - 25/1
8. Patrick Reed - 28/1
8. Phil Mickelson - 28/1
10. Byeoung Hun An - 40/1
11. Kevin Chappell - 45/1
11. Daniel Berger - 45/1
11. Bryson DeChambeau - 45/1
14. Paul Casey - 50/1
15. Jamie Lovemark - 55/1

Fifteen Guys We Like

Rory McIlroy - $12,800
Patrick Reed - $9,700
Well, maybe next time.
Phil Mickelson - $9,500
J.B. Holmes - $9,100
Byeoung Hun An - $8,600
Daniel Berger - $8,400
Bill Haas - $8,200
Charles Howell, III - $8,100
Kevin Chappell - $7,900
Webb Simpson - $7,900
Tony Finau - $7,600
Ryan Moore - $7,500
Graham DeLaet - $7,400
Will Wilcox - $6,600
Lucas Glover - $6,300

One and Done Pick: Kevin Chappell

Sleeper Pick: Will Wilcox

Picks to Date

Hyundai: Dustin Johnson  $148,000
Sony: Matt Kuchar  $77,604
CareerBuilder: Ryan Palmer  $75,897
Farmers: Brandt Snedeker $1,170,000
Phoenix: Hideki Matsuyama $1,170,000
Pebble Beach: Jimmy Walker $143,500
Northern Trust: Sergio Garcia $0
Honda: Patrick Reed $0
Cadillac: Rickie Fowler $197,500
Valspar Ryan Moore $414,800
Palmer: Henrik Stenson $365,400
Match Play: Branden Grace $90,900
Houston Open: Phil Mickelson $160,760
Masters: Adam Scott $37,000
Heritage: Kevin Kisner $11,859
Texas Open: Charley Hoffman $1,116,000
Zurich: Billy Horschel $28,029
Total $5,207,249

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com

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