Thursday, August 30, 2018

Fantasy Golf: Dell Technologies Preview

The end of season depression has morphed into fatigue which has manifested itself as interest in the FedEx Cup that ranges from zero to something less than that. Apparently I'm not alone as the PGA Tour is considering the 47th rule/format change to the event since its inception in 2005. The fundamental problem is that they're trying to stage a marathon where slower runners get pulled-off the course every 6.5 miles and then have a 100 yard dash at the end where the winner of the marathon and the sprint have to be the same guy or the ending is more anticlimactic than the final episode of Downton Abbey (yes I'm still bitter). There's just one problem with that whole marathon/sprint concept. It's stupid.

That isn't stopping them from trying to force it to work, however, as now they're proposing that the leader of the FedEx Cup points race gets to start the Tour Championship at -10 with his pursuers starting at -9, -8, etc. (I swear that I am not making this up). Apparently the awesome scenario they're envisioning is that the points leader plays like Scott Simpson, shoots four rounds of even par and eeks-out a win over a guy who plays great and shoots -9. Then on Sunday afternoon they hand both trophies and about $12M to a guy who just spent seventy-two holes shooting at the middle of the greens. I swear if these idiots ran the NFL they'd create a rule where you got a fifteen yard penalty for accidentally hitting another player with your helmet (wait a minute). 

But that's next year and this is now (or at least it was a second ago). The only good thing you could say about my one and done picks to date is that at least I'm not going to leave any great options on the table. At this point I'm pretty much down to Adam Scott, Paul Casey, Phil Mickelson, Francesco Molinari and Bryson DeChambeau. Scott is such the obvious pick this week that there is almost no doubt in my mind that he's going to miss the cut and I should take Casey. In addition to being on a serious roll of late, the Aussie finished 4th here in 2016, top ten from 2010-12, runner-up in 2004 and he won the thing in 2003. Phil's record ain't too shabby with a T6 last year, top tens in 2011-12 and a win in 2007 but Scott is currently on fire and you are going to feel like a jackass if he wins and you don't pick him (and by "you" I mean "me"). 

As for the rest of the picks, Billy Horschel looks like he's ready to do some crazy FedEx Cup Billy Horschel shit and Patrick Reed hasn't finished worse than T6 here since 2014. In the top tier I'm going with Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy over Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka and Jason Day because the first two have won here and the other three have not (so there). My sleeper is Abraham Ancer who I'm going to pick every week until he wins because it's coming. I can feel it. Like a burgeoning dairy fart. 

The only reason this picture is on
this post is to try to give it a pulse. 
One and Done Pick: Adam Scott

Other Guy I'd Pick: Rory McIlroy

Sleeper Pick: Abraham Ancer


The DraftKings Top Ten Values


Justin Thomas
$11,400
Rory McIlroy
$10,600
Adam Scott
$9,400
Patrick Reed
$8,400
Billy Horschel
$8,100
Paul Casey
$7,900
Gary Woodland
$7,700
Stewart Cink
$7,100
Adam Hadwin
$6,900
Abraham Ancer
$6,600

And here are all thirty guys I would remotely consider if I gambled (ahem). 


DK Price
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Dustin Johnson
$11,600
T18
T8
T44
DNP
T27
Justin Thomas
$11,400
1st
MC
T56
DNP
DNP
Brooks Koepka
$11,000
T18
T57
MC
DNP
DNP
Rory McIlroy
$10,600
MC
1st
T29
T5
T47
Jason Day
$10,400
T23
T15
T12
T7
T13
Jordan Spieth
$10,000
2nd
T21
MC
T29
T4
Tiger Woods
$9,700
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
T65
Adam Scott
$9,400
MC
4th
DNP
T16
T53
Justin Rose
$9,300
T10
T57
MC
DNP
T16
Jon Rahm
$9,100
T4
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Patrick Cantlay
$9,000
T13
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Tony Finau
$8,800
T65
T24
MC
DNP
DNP
B. DeChambeau
$8,700
T30
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Henrik Stenson
$8,600
DNP
T41
2nd
T26
1st
T. Fleetwood
$8,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Patrick Reed
$8,400
T6
T5
T4
T74
T70
Phil Mickelson
$8,200
T6
MC
T65
T45
T41
Billy Horschel
$8,100
MC
MC
72nd
T2
T70
Marc Leishman
$8,000
3rd
T46
MC
T65
T16
Paul Casey
$7,900
T4
2nd
W/D
DNP
DNP
Gary Woodland
$7,700
T18
T15
T12
T29
T41
Aaron Wise
$7,600
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Rafa Cab-Bello
$7,300
T18
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Jimmy Walker
$7,100
DNP
3rd
MC
T9
MC
Stewart Cink
$7,100
12th
DNP
DNP
T50
T27
Adam Hadwin
$6,900
T13
T46
DNP
DNP
DNP
Pat Perez
$6,900
T6
DNP
T29
W/D
T70
Chris Kirk
$6,800
T47
T33
T29
1st
T16
Kevin Chappell
$6,800
T35
T8
T12
T50
T22
Abraham Ancer
$6,600
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP

Email the Fantasy Golf Report - fgr@fantasygolfreport.com
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