Tuesday, June 5, 2018

Fantasy Golf: The FedEx St. Jude Classic Preview

One of the eternal questions that has plagued golfers for years is whether or not you should play the event right before a major or hermetically seal yourself in a cocoon for safe-keeping like a wedding dress that's just had all of the Merlot, shrimp cocktail and groomsmen drool stains removed. The case for the former is that you roll-in tournament ready having spent the previous week fine-tuning certain shots under game conditions. The case for the latter is that you tee-off on Thursday fully refreshed and more hungry for action than a longshoreman stepping off the boat in Bangkok Port.   

Judging by the light attendance of top players every year at the FedEx St. Jude Classic, the prevailing theory is that you take the week-off to prepare. But those slackers might want to take a closer look because Brooks Koepka won the 2017 U.S. Open after playing in Memphis and Dustin Johnson did the same thing in 2016. The 2015 winner Jordan Spieth didn't play the week before but runner-up DJ did. In 2014, Rickie Fowler, DJ and Koepka did it and then finished T2, T4 and T4 respectively at Pinehurst. In 2013, it was Phil Mickelson and Billy Horschel who played the FedEx before going on to finish T2 and T4 at Merion. This really has nothing to do with who you should pick this week but I wasn't sure how else to start the preview so there you go.

Speaking of this week (man you're smooth), we've actually got a handful of players who really like this TPC course. In addition to the slew of top tens racked-up by DJ, Phil, Koepka and Horschel, DJ won this thing in 2012. After you grab two or three of those studs, you want to be populating your line-ups with singles hitters like 2009 champ Brian Gay and 2014 champ Ben Crane, both of whom come straight out of the mold of the most dominant player in TPC Southwind history - David Toms. Oh and I'm passing on Daniel Berger this week because I like to do stupid contrarian shit purely for the sake of it. That's why I just bought 71 shares of Sears stock. Don't tell me people no longer want to one-stop shop for blenders, lawnmowers and mom jeans. This is America goddammit.   

One and Done Pick: Billy Horschel
A quick search led me to Miss
Memphis Monroe who is apparently
in the kitchen remodeling business.


Other Guy I'd Pick: Brooks Koepka


Sleeper Pick: Ben Crane


DraftKings Top Ten Values

Brooks Koepka
$11,100
Phil Mickelson
$10,600
Billy Horschel
$9,700
Byeon Hun An
$9,200
Peter Uihlein
$8,500
Harris English
$8,100
Brian Gay
$7,500
Ben Crane
$7,400
Ben Martin
$7,000
Abraham Ancer
$6,900

With the exception of Crane and Gay, we're bereft of value plays this week with guys who've had past success. Apparently you have to either be really good to succeed here or be Fabian Gomez in 2015. I'm going to keep riding Abraham Ancer as my bargain pick until he strings four good rounds together or I convince myself that someone else is more likely to pull a top ten out of his ass. He opened with a 65 last week before stumbling around for the next three days. He has the potential. He has the training. He has the experience. He just needs to dig deep and find it. Come on Abraham . . . YOU CAN DO IT!!!    


                           THE HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART YOU
                                NEVER THOUGHT YOU COULD AFFORD


DK Price
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Dustin Johnson
$11,700
DNP
5th
W/D
T24
T10
Brooks Koepka
$11,100
T37
T2
T3
T19
DNP
Phil Mickelson
$10,600
9th
T2
T3
T11
T2
Henrik Stenson
$10,400
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Daniel Berger
$10,000
1st
1st
DNP
DNP
DNP
Billy Horschel
$9,700
T4
DNP
T8
T6
T10
Adam Scott
$9,600
T10
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Charl Schwartzel
$9,400
T2
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Tony Finau
$9,300
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Byeon Hun An
$9,200
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Keegan Bradley
$9,000
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Steve Stricker
$8,800
DNP
T2
DNP
DNP
DNP
Russell Knox
$8,700
T37
DNP
T8
MC
74th
Charles Howell
$8,600
DNP
T26
MC
T28
T39
Peter Uihlein
$8,500
T78
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Luke List
$8,300
T18
T50
DNP
DNP
W/D
Ryan Palmer
$8,200
T80
T68
T22
T32
4th
Harris English
$8,100
T10
T26
T45
MC
1st
Chris Kirk
$8,000
T72
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
J.B. Holmes
$8,000
T52
DNP
DNP
MC
DNP
Patrick Rodgers
$7,900
MC
DNP
T29
DNP
DNP
Kevin Chappell
$7,800
T4
DNP
T22
DNP
DNP
Kevin Tway
$7,800
T31
DNP
DNP
MC
DNP
Andrew Putnam
$7,700
DNP
DNP
MC
DNP
DNP
Brian Gay
$7,500
MC
6th
DNP
MC
T39
Trey Mullinax
$7,500
T18
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Ben Crane
$7,400
T10
T41
T37
1st
T18
Grayson Murray
$7,400
T18
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Ben Martin
$7,000
T60
MC
DNP
T13
DNP
Abraham Ancer
$6,900
DNP
T18
DNP
DNP
DNP

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com
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