Tuesday, October 16, 2018

Fantasy Golf: The CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges Preview

I'm coming-off a two day benderthon late last week and, for reasons associated with guilt and work, I've had to wake-up before 6:00 a.m. twice since so Old Man FGR is dragging a bit and this preview is being written through a thick haze of coffee and Aqua Velva. The good news is that this week's tournament is basically the same as last week's tournament where my picks were almost good enough to win money so the plan is to make a few tweaks, provide almost zero analysis and hope for the best.       

I still think Justin Thomas is the best player in the world and he won here last year so I'm sticking with him. Brooks Koepka is also really good at golf. The strategy this week is therefore to go high-low and marry those guys up with some bargain plays like Stewart Cink and Brian Gay. I'd also recommend throwing a middle of the road team in there built around the uber dependable trio of Alex Noren, Kyle Stanley and Charles Howell. Now if you'll excuse me, I've got some lifestyle writing to do. 

'WHAT DAY IS IT?!?!?"
One and Done Pick: Alex Noren

Other Guy I'd Pick: Kyle Stanley


Sleeper Pick: Stewart Cink


The DraftKings Top Ten Values


Justin Thomas
$11,700
Brooks Koepka
$11,200
Alex Noren
$8,900
Kyle Stanley
$8,200
Chesson Hadley
$7,800
Abraham Ancer
$7,700
Charles Howell
$7,700
Ian Poulter
$7,600
Stewart Cink
$7,000
Brian Gay
$6,300
   
Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com. 

Tuesday, October 9, 2018

Fantasy Golf: The CIMB Classic Preview

I'm back from my post Ryder Cup hiatus. Sort of. I'd be lying if I told you I saw a single shot of last week's tournament and why would I waste a lie on that?* This week, however, we head to Kuala Lumpur which means some off-hours golf with a pretty respectable field playing an entertaining course in front of some fans who will make the insane Ryder Cup crowd seem like an insane Ryder Cup crowd. Seriously, the quietude of the Malaysian faithful may feel unnerving by comparison. Best crank-up a good Rage Against the Machine cover in the background (you're welcome). 

If you scroll down to the chart of past results below, what you will find is evidence of a love/hate course along the lines of the TPC courses here at home. Who loves it you ask? Well, Justin Thomas and Ryan Moore have each won there twice in the past five years and played well on every other visit. In light of my opinion that Thomas is the best golfer in the world right now (and the Ryder Cup did nothing to change that), he's my pick to win even though I currently have no reason to pick a winner as my one and done season ended at the Tour Championship with yet another thud. (I should be better at this). If you're looking for a less obvious pick, go with Keegan Bradley or Moore who I hear from reliable sources finished second last week.

The rest of my top ten are the usual combination of players who've shown an affinity for the course (Kevin Na, Cameron Smith, Anirban Lahiri, etc.) mixed with some of my typical dark horse go to guys in Stewart Cink and Abraham Ancer. You know what? Just typing the name "Abraham Ancer" makes me happy to be back. I'm a driver, I'm the winner. Things are gonna change I can feel it.      

Let's tighten-up that body language
buddy because this is our year!
One and Done Pick: Justin Thomas

Other Guy I'd Pick: Keegan Bradley


Sleeper Pick: Brendan Steele


The Draft Kings Top Ten Values


Justin Thomas
$11,700
Ryan Moore
$10,700
Keegan Bradley
$9,900
Brandt Snedeker
$9,100
Kevin Na
$8,600
Cameron Smith
$8,400
Stewart Cink
$7,200
Abraham Ancer
$7,100
Anirban Lahiri
$6,900
Brendan Steele
$6,800

THE RESEARCH

A list of everyone I thought about picking before narrowing it down to ten. It was hard to stay away from Paul Casey and Xander Schauffele but, in the end, it wasn't them. It was me. 


DK Price
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Justin Thomas
$11,700
T17
1st
1st
DNP
DNP
Ryan Moore
$10,900
DNP
T17
T10
1st
1st
Billy Horschel
$10,700
DNP
DNP
DNP
T37
T11
X. Schauffele
$10,400
T3
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Paul Casey
$10,200
T7
T21
T24
T37
DNP
Keegan Bradley
$9,900
2nd
6th
T47
DNP
10th
Marc Leishman
$9,800
DNP
5th
T29
T39
T44
Gary Woodland
$9,700
T28
T56
T56
T2
2nd
Emiliano Grillo
$9,500
T54
T17
DNP
DNP
DNP
R. Cabrera-Bello
$9,300
T10
T10
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brandt Snedeker
$9,100
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Kyle Stanley
$9,000
T21
DNP
DNP
T33
T19
Ben An
$8,900
DNP
T39
DNP
DNP
DNP
Kevin Na
$8,600
T44
T29
T3
T2
DNP
J.B. Holmes
$8,500
DNP
DNP
DNP
T49
DNP
Cameron Smith
$8,400
T5
DNP
T37
T5
DNP
Pat Perez
$8,300
1st
T33
63rd
T33
DNP
Kevin Tway
$8,200
T32
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Danny Lee
$8,100
T7
T51
W/D
T13
DNP
Charles Howell
$7,900
T51
T39
T10
DNP
T7
Peter Uihlein
$7,700
T10
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Thomas Pieters
$7,500
T44
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Jimmy Walker
$7,400
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
6th
Si Woo Kim
$7,400
77th
T10
DNP
DNP
DNP
K. Aphibarnrat
$7,300
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
T3
Stewart Cink
$7,200
T13
DNP
T17
T56
T11
Abraham Ancer
$7,100
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Anirban Lahiri
$6,900
T10
T3
T21
T52
T35
Brian Gay
$6,900
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
T47
Brendan Steele
$6,800
T13
T26
T3
DNP
T25

Footnote

* It wasn't just that I had no interest in the anticlimactically timed Safeway Open. It was the fact that I had devoted 36 hours on Friday and Saturday to 45 holes of losing Member-Member tournament golf followed by zonking-out early on Saturday evening followed by watching my 11 year old daughter play soccer in 90 degree October heat against teams from New Jersey and Virginia with bloodthirsty psycho parents. The New Jersey post-game actually had all the makings of a parent rumble. All I needed to do was go into full FGR instigation mode but I just didn't have it in me. That's how tired I was. 

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com.