I know you all enjoy nothing more than reading about why I can't get these flimsy previews written by Tuesday so I was going to write about how I am currently sitting in an orthodontist's office on Wednesday morning waiting for my daughter to get braces to ensure that my monthly payments to these people continue in perpetuity (as the nice lady literally hands me the clipboard where I will effectively commit to buying a used Hyundai over the next two years). But that, however, would not explain why I couldn't get this done last night.
I'm not really sure what's wrong with me. Usually I can write at night but the fact is that I've been feeling a bit feverish lately and have a bit of a cough. Feels like I may have picked-up something when I was hanging-out in that Turkish bathhouse on Sunday with a bunch of guys from the Fantasy Golf Report's Asian Tour department who were just in town for our annual meeting. Eh, I'm sure it's nothing.
I've got some recompensing to do on the picks after the last few weeks. But first, this . . .
TWEET OF THE WEEK
A handful of you are going to read this tweet, watch this video and form the knowing smile of someone who has borne witness.
Last week was one big slow motion kick to the FGR crotch starting with Rickie Fowler blowing-up on Thursday and then coming back just to miss the cut by one. To add further insult, I'm in a league where I get to pick three players per week and replace one after the cut. I foolishly used Charl Schwartzel as my sub and he did his typical Saturday run - Sunday swoon. Billy Horschel produced a middling effort and I don't even need to tell you who my third guy was. Let's just say that the high cut is clearly not his natural shot shape.
Onward and upward. I'm going a bit contrarian this week because when trying to breakout of a slump it's always good to use a strategy with a historical success rate of about 17%. Anyway, I just feel like most of the value this week is in the $8,000 - $9,000 range and, if that's your approach, then you can't also go shopping in the high rent district. So yes I'm going to pass on Rory McIlroy who's last three finishes here are T6, 1st and T4. I'm also going to pass on Tommy Fleetwood who finished T3 here last year and I guess is due for a win but I'm not so sure anymore. Instead, I'm closing my eyes, holding my nose, stabbing myself in the thigh with a pencil and picking Bryson DeChambeau and that's all I want to say about that.
After what's his name, we have a slew of great values including Jason Day, Henrik Stenson, Marc Leishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick and Tyrrell Hatton. They've all had success at Bay Hill in the past and I fully expect at least two of them to finish top ten. And Rafa Cabrera-Bello finished T3 last year, is playing well and has never failed to let me down when I pick him so he's a perfect fit with this week's strategy.
I know Francesco Molinari's game has been hot garbage lately but I can't pass-up a defending champion for $7,200 when he also happens to be a major winner and former top ten player. He is obviously comfortable here as evidenced by his solid five year performance. Hopefully the fact that he actually cashed a check for the first time in North America this year at the WGC combined with a week off and the return to a friendly track will jar him back to his 2018 form.
For deeper sleepers, I'm going with Carlos Ortiz (on a current run of T25, T26 and T16) and Keith Mitchell who, like many of us, seems to like golfing in Florida. Hey, sometimes that's all it takes.
One and Done Pick: B. DeChambeau
Other Guy I'd Pick: T. Fleetwood
Sleeper Pick: Carlos Ortiz
DraftKings Top Ten Values
We name this week's historical performance chart in honor of the guy who is trying so painfully hard to be the new Johnny Miller that he inspired someone on Twitter to compare him to a serrated dildo. I've never actually had any experience with a serrated dildo but I imagine it would be pretty uncomfortable. No matter how you used it. I'm going to stop talking now.
As usual, the following list does not include the entire field but only those players who I strongly considered. The list is really long this week because I did a shitload of considering after the recent debacles.
THE PAUL AZINGER ART OF DIPLOMACY
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART
Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com.
I'm not really sure what's wrong with me. Usually I can write at night but the fact is that I've been feeling a bit feverish lately and have a bit of a cough. Feels like I may have picked-up something when I was hanging-out in that Turkish bathhouse on Sunday with a bunch of guys from the Fantasy Golf Report's Asian Tour department who were just in town for our annual meeting. Eh, I'm sure it's nothing.
I've got some recompensing to do on the picks after the last few weeks. But first, this . . .
TWEET OF THE WEEK
A handful of you are going to read this tweet, watch this video and form the knowing smile of someone who has borne witness.
I call this work of art "The Last Hole of Every Member-Guest" a/k/a misjudging the finish line. https://t.co/Wj9D7ngb9R— Ronny Elliott (@FantasyGolfRep) February 26, 2020
Last week was one big slow motion kick to the FGR crotch starting with Rickie Fowler blowing-up on Thursday and then coming back just to miss the cut by one. To add further insult, I'm in a league where I get to pick three players per week and replace one after the cut. I foolishly used Charl Schwartzel as my sub and he did his typical Saturday run - Sunday swoon. Billy Horschel produced a middling effort and I don't even need to tell you who my third guy was. Let's just say that the high cut is clearly not his natural shot shape.
Onward and upward. I'm going a bit contrarian this week because when trying to breakout of a slump it's always good to use a strategy with a historical success rate of about 17%. Anyway, I just feel like most of the value this week is in the $8,000 - $9,000 range and, if that's your approach, then you can't also go shopping in the high rent district. So yes I'm going to pass on Rory McIlroy who's last three finishes here are T6, 1st and T4. I'm also going to pass on Tommy Fleetwood who finished T3 here last year and I guess is due for a win but I'm not so sure anymore. Instead, I'm closing my eyes, holding my nose, stabbing myself in the thigh with a pencil and picking Bryson DeChambeau and that's all I want to say about that.
After what's his name, we have a slew of great values including Jason Day, Henrik Stenson, Marc Leishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick and Tyrrell Hatton. They've all had success at Bay Hill in the past and I fully expect at least two of them to finish top ten. And Rafa Cabrera-Bello finished T3 last year, is playing well and has never failed to let me down when I pick him so he's a perfect fit with this week's strategy.
I know Francesco Molinari's game has been hot garbage lately but I can't pass-up a defending champion for $7,200 when he also happens to be a major winner and former top ten player. He is obviously comfortable here as evidenced by his solid five year performance. Hopefully the fact that he actually cashed a check for the first time in North America this year at the WGC combined with a week off and the return to a friendly track will jar him back to his 2018 form.
For deeper sleepers, I'm going with Carlos Ortiz (on a current run of T25, T26 and T16) and Keith Mitchell who, like many of us, seems to like golfing in Florida. Hey, sometimes that's all it takes.
 |
| Not gonna lie to you. My favorite part of this picture is definitely the glimpse of the old school muni-style halfway house in the background. |
Other Guy I'd Pick: T. Fleetwood
Sleeper Pick: Carlos Ortiz
DraftKings Top Ten Values
B. DeChambeau
|
$10,400
|
Jason Day
|
$9,100
|
Henrik Stenson
|
$8,800
|
Marc Leishman
|
$8,600
|
M. Fitzpatrick
|
$8,500
|
Tyrell Hatton
|
$8,100
|
R. Cabrera-Bello
|
$7,600
|
F. Molinari
|
$7,200
|
Carlos Ortiz
|
$7,100
|
Keith Mitchell
|
$6,600
|
We name this week's historical performance chart in honor of the guy who is trying so painfully hard to be the new Johnny Miller that he inspired someone on Twitter to compare him to a serrated dildo. I've never actually had any experience with a serrated dildo but I imagine it would be pretty uncomfortable. No matter how you used it. I'm going to stop talking now.
As usual, the following list does not include the entire field but only those players who I strongly considered. The list is really long this week because I did a shitload of considering after the recent debacles.
THE PAUL AZINGER ART OF DIPLOMACY
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART
DK Price
|
2019
|
2018
|
2017
|
2016
|
2015
|
|
Rory McIlroy
|
$11,800
|
T6
|
1st
|
T4
|
T27
|
T11
|
Tommy Fleetwood
|
$11,000
|
T3
|
T26
|
T10
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Hideki Matsuyama
|
$10,600
|
T33
|
T49
|
T45
|
T6
|
T21
|
B. DeChambeau
|
$10,400
|
T46
|
2nd
|
DNP
|
T27
|
DNP
|
Xander Schauffele
|
$10,000
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Adam Scott
|
$9,700
|
DNP
|
T41
|
DNP
|
T12
|
T35
|
Sungjae Im
|
$9,500
|
T3
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Patrick Reed
|
$9,400
|
T50
|
T7
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Rickie Fowler
|
$9,300
|
T40
|
T14
|
12th
|
DNP
|
T29
|
Brooks Koepka
|
$9,200
|
MC
|
DNP
|
MC
|
DNP
|
W/D
|
Jason Day
|
$9,100
|
DNP
|
T22
|
T23
|
1st
|
T17
|
Justin Rose
|
$9,000
|
T63
|
3rd
|
T13
|
T9
|
DNP
|
Tony Finau
|
$8,900
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
T28
|
T43
|
MC
|
Henrik Stenson
|
$8,800
|
T17
|
4th
|
MC
|
T3
|
2nd
|
Byeon Hun An
|
$8,700
|
T10
|
T14
|
T49
|
T36
|
DNP
|
Marc Leishman
|
$8,600
|
T23
|
T7
|
1st
|
T17
|
MC
|
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
$8,500
|
2nd
|
MC
|
T13
|
T27
|
DNP
|
Colin Morikawa
|
$8,400
|
DNP
|
T64
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Bubba Watson
|
$8,300
|
T17
|
T66
|
T34
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Lee Westwood
|
$8,200
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Tyrell Hatton
|
$8,100
|
T29
|
T69
|
T4
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Billy Horschel
|
$8,000
|
T50
|
T54
|
T13
|
T20
|
T43
|
Viktor Hovland
|
$8,000
|
T40
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Max Homa
|
$7,900
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Phil Mickelson
|
$7,900
|
MC
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Abraham Ancer
|
$7,800
|
MC
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Kevin Kisner
|
$7,800
|
T23
|
MC
|
T2
|
MC
|
T49
|
Scottie Scheffler
|
$7,700
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Wyndham Clark
|
$7,700
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Ian Poulter
|
$7,600
|
T23
|
T41
|
T41
|
T46
|
T21
|
Rafa Cabrera-Bello
|
$7,600
|
T3
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Brendan Steele
|
$7,500
|
T17
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
T46
|
T35
|
Charl Schwartzel
|
$7,500
|
DNP
|
MC
|
T45
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Joaquin Niemann
|
$7,500
|
T46
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Bud Cauley
|
$7,400
|
MC
|
T14
|
MC
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Harris English
|
$7,400
|
68th
|
T22
|
MC
|
MC
|
T29
|
J.B. Holmes
|
$7,400
|
MC
|
T41
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
MC
|
Maverick McNealy
|
$7,400
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
T46
|
DNP
|
Ryan Moore
|
$7,400
|
T33
|
T5
|
T34
|
T74
|
DNP
|
Alex Noren
|
$7,300
|
DNP
|
T36
|
T49
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Joel Dahmen
|
$7,300
|
MC
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Kevin Na
|
$7,300
|
MC
|
T36
|
MC
|
DNP
|
T6
|
Charles Howell, III
|
$7,200
|
T15
|
T14
|
T56
|
T46
|
T21
|
Francesco Molinari
|
$7,200
|
1st
|
T26
|
T7
|
T9
|
T17
|
Jason Kokrak
|
$7,200
|
T10
|
MC
|
T56
|
T20
|
T6
|
Russell Knox
|
$7,200
|
DNP
|
T73
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
T29
|
Vaughn Taylor
|
$7,200
|
MC
|
DNP
|
T23
|
MC
|
DNP
|
Carlos Ortiz
|
$7,100
|
T29
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
T21
|
Emiliano Grillo
|
$7,100
|
DNP
|
T26
|
T17
|
T17
|
DNP
|
Brian Harman
|
$7,000
|
MC
|
T54
|
T13
|
T17
|
MC
|
Keegan Bradley
|
$7,000
|
T46
|
T26
|
T34
|
T36
|
T49
|
Talor Gooch
|
$7,000
|
DNP
|
T26
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Graeme McDowell
|
$6,900
|
T54
|
T22
|
T28
|
MC
|
MC
|
Matt Wallace
|
$6,800
|
T6
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Sung Kang
|
$6,800
|
T6
|
T58
|
DNP
|
MC
|
DNP
|
Adam Long
|
$6,700
|
T10
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Harry Higgs
|
$6,700
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Keith Mitchell
|
$6,600
|
T6
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
DNP
|
Patrick Rodgers
|
$6,600
|
T46
|
T7
|
MC
|
T20
|
DNP
|
Zach Johnson
|
$6,600
|
T40
|
T26
|
T66
|
5th
|
T9
|
Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com.
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