Wednesday, July 22, 2020

Fantasy Golf: The 3M Open Preview

In the hopes of finding some inspiration for previewing a tournament that will feature just three of the top twenty-five players in the world on a TPC course that's held only one PGA Tour event, I referred back to last year's preview only to discover that I compared writing that one to constipation which, aside from kind of rhyming, is not exactly inspiration. 

So here are the other things I did instead of finishing this preview by my self-imposed Tuesday happy hour deadline (we're going heavy on the bullet points this week to give this shit some shape):
  • I played pool basketball with my kids (and lost).
  • I ate cereal for lunch. But it took four months of working from home to break me on that one so I'm counting that as a win.
  • I plowed through the last 45 minutes of District 9 which was my most recent "what in the hell is dad watching now?" movie of the pandemic. I will recommend it but will also warn you that it's really dirty. Not in a good way. More like one of those movies that needs a bath.
  • I played an old man lacrosse game after which all of my focus was devoted to climbing steps and not falling down in the shower which leaves nothing for writing.  
Today, however, I have a renewed spirit, or something. But first, this . . .
 
TWEET OF THE WEEK

Here's a fun one for my fellow "we're about to spend a fortune sending our kids off to the potentially deadly abyss that is college this fall" parents . . . 


ALMOST BASELESS GOLF ANALYSIS

As noted above, they played TPC Twin Cities last year and here is some of the relevant information to be drawn from the results:

  • Matthew Wolff was the top dog (see what I did there? . . . and yes I did verify that they are both sub-species of canis lupus per www.rover.com). 
  • Lucas Glover and Brian Harman finished T7 which makes them two of the favorites this week and who doesn't like lighting money on fire?
  • Tony Finau finished T23 so I guess he didn't hate the course. 
  • Brooks Koepka finished 65th so I guess he didn't love the course or he didn't care that week. Or both. 
  • Harris English, Charley Hoffman and Doc Redman who are all being touted as smart money picks this year missed the cut last year. 
  • For the full results, click here.

So what do we make of all that? I really have no idea. The most relevant takeaway from last year's leaderboard might actually be that Bryson De(I just threw up in my mouth a bit)Chambeau and Collin Morikawa tied for second so it does not appear to be one of those talent leveling courses like TPC San Antonio or TPC Just About Everywhere Else for that matter. 

I still think, however, that we're due for a Sunday battle involving more modest talent like the one I called for two weeks ago when we ended-up with a playoff between Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa a/k/a two of the ten best golfers in the world right now (rankings notwithstanding). Viktor Hovland, Ian Poulter, Patrick Cantlay and Jason Day also finished in the top ten that week. Nailed it!

The safe pick feels like Paul Casey but he never wins so if you're looking for your best shot at a top five, he's your guy. You could say the same thing about Tony Finau. And Harris English. And it's really hard to pick a player who you know in your heart is going to let you down on Sunday. So I'm going way out on a random limb and picking Max Homa. If nothing else, my heart will be in it through at least Friday because how can you not root for Max? 

Considering that the whole week is kind of a crapshoot, so is the rest of our top ten but I feel at least somewhat comfortable with Chucky Triple Sticks and Richie Werenski. And if you're going to take a flyer on a deep sleeper, might as well make it a guy like Stewart Cink who still likes to make cuts with minimal pressure because he's just out there having a good time until he starts crushing everyone on the senior tour as the next version of Kenny Perry. 

If I'm going down in flames, I'm at least
gonna root for a guy I like. (Seems logical).
One and Done Pick: Max Homa

Other Guy I'd Pick: Harris English

Best Value: Charles Howell, III

Sleeper Pick: Stewart Cink

DraftKings Top Ten Values


Tony Finau
$10,900
Paul Casey
$10,100
Harris English
$9,000
Patrick Rodgers
$8,200
Max Homa
$8,000
Dylan Frittelli
$7,600
Richie Werenski
$7,400
Charles Howell, III
$7,400
Pat Perez
$7,200
Stewart Cink
$6,600

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

Fantasy Golf: Memorial Tournament Preview

It's 11:00 on a Tuesday night. My family is not here. I am alone in my kitchen. Struggling to find an opening topic. I got it! Here's a funny story from last night involving one of my kids (hold on . . . I'm being told that I can't tell that story).

Well that was really all I had going so let's just scrap the damn opening and move on. Oh wait, first I feel compelled to mention that Sirius recently decided to change the name of The Spectrum channel to Coldplay Radio which would be like McDonald's changing the name of the Quarter Pounder to Dogshit on a Bun. In case you were wondering where I stand on Coldplay. 

And now, this . . . 

TWEET OF THE WEEK

We fucking need the kid on the right to take over 2020 and fix everything. 
GOLF ANALYSIS

Last week I gave you Collin Morikawa, Patrick Cantlay and Kevin Streelman. On the other hand, I also gave you Justin Rose, Joel Dahmen and J.B. Holmes. We should be able to build on that. Operative word being "should."

I'm sticking with a few of last week's picks in Cantlay, Streelman and Hideki Matsuyama while abandoning Justin Rose who is now dead to me (which means he's going to win). It's starting to feel like you should wager on the all sophomore team of Morikawa, Viktor Hovland and Matthew Wolff every week because at least one of them is always there. Hovland is currently the most due and he crushed it at Muirfield last week. 

Brendon Todd is a sleep strong sleeper when you look at how he played here back when he was good like he is again now. Also, don't dare me to take Patrick Rodgers two weeks in a row on the same course because I will fucking do it. I really will. Sorry for the abbreviated preview. My excuse is below. 
I don't think a picture has ever more
accurately captured my mood.

One and Done Pick: Patrick Cantlay

Other Guy I'd Pick: Viktor Hovland


Sleeper Pick: Brendon Todd


DraftKings Top Ten Values


Patrick Cantlay
$9,800
Viktor Hovland
$9,500
Hideki Matsuyama
$9,400
Matt Kuchar
$8,000
Jason Day
$8,000
Ben An
$7,700
Kevin Streelman
$7,600
Matthew Wolff
$7,400
Brendon Todd
$6,900
Patrick Rodgers
$6,800

Not a lot to say this week because what's been said has been said but here you go.

                                        THE WHITE WINE HANGOVER
                                   HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART 


DK Price
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
B. DeChambeau
$11,100
DNP
T22
1st
DNP
T38
Justin Thomas
$10,900
2nd
MC
T8
T4
MC
Rory McIlroy
$10,700
DNP
MC
T8
DNP
T4
Dustin Johnson
$10,300
DNP
DNP
T8
MC
3rd
Collin Morikawa
$10,000
1st
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Patrick Cantlay
$9,800
T7
1st
4th
T35
DNP
Webb Simpson
$9,600
DNP
DNP
DNP
T67
T11
Viktor Hovland
$9,500
3rd
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Hideki Matsuyama
$9,400
T22
6th
T13
T45
MC
Jon Rahm
$9,300
T27
DNP
DNP
MC
DNP
Xander Schauffele
$9,200
T14
T14
MC
DNP
DNP
Brooks Koepka
$9,100
MC
DNP
DNP
T31
DNP
Tiger Woods
$9,000
DNP
T9
T23
DNP
DNP
Justin Rose
$8,900
MC
13th
T6
DNP
DNP
Rickie Fowler
$8,800
T22
T14
T8
T2
MC
Daniel Berger
$8,700
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
67th
Gary Woodland
$8,600
T5
T52
T23
T49
T4
Abraham Ancer
$8,500
DNP
T65
T57
DNP
DNP
Patrick Reed
$8,400
T39
DNP
T29
T57
T8
Tony Finau
$8,300
DNP
MC
T13
T40
T11
Sungjae Im
$8,200
63rd
T57
DNP
DNP
DNP
Matthew Fitzpatrick
$8,100
T27
T68
DNP
DNP
DNP
Jason Day
$8,000
T7
MC
T44
T15
T27
Matt Kuchar
$8,000
T39
MC
T13
T4
T4
Joaquin Niemann
$7,900
T31
T27
T6
DNP
DNP
Paul Casey
$7,900
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
MC
Marc Leishman
$7,800
MC
5th
T62
T15
T11
Sergio Garcia
$7,800
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Byeon Hun An
$7,700
MC
T17
T2
T25
T11
Jordan Spieth
$7,700
MC
T7
MC
T13
T57
Doc Redman
$7,600
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Kevin Streelman
$7,600
T7
4th
T44
T13
T8
Billy Horschel
$7,500
T7
T9
MC
MC
DNP
Kevin Kisner
$7,500
DNP
T41
T74
T6
MC
Rory Sabbatini
$7,500
T17
T27
T44
DNP
DNP
Adam Hadwin
$7,400
T35
T52
T74
MC
T11
Cameron Champ
$7,400
67th
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
Corey Connors
$7,400
T39
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Matthew Wolff
$7,400
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Bubba Watson
$7,300
MC
DNP
T44
T6
T65
Harris English
$7,300
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Louis Oosthuizen
$7,300
T65
T57
T13
DNP
DNP
Phil Mickelson
$7,300
T58
MC
T13
T22
T20
Keegan Bradley
$7,200
T39
MC
T23
MC
T8
Kevin Na
$7,200
DNP
DNP
MC
DNP
T74
Scottie Scheffler
$7,200
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Shane Lowry
$7,200
T39
DNP
T52
T15
DNP
Brendan Steele
$7,100
T52
T41
DNP
T57
T20
Harold Varner, III
$7,100
MC
DNP
DNP
T19
T57
Joel Dahmen
$7,100
MC
T68
DNP
DNP
DNP
Lucas Glover
$7,100
DNP
T52
T52
T45
T33
Alex Noren
$6,900
DNP
T41
DNP
DNP
DNP
Brendon Todd
$6,900
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Jason Kokrak
$6,900
MC
T57
MC
T35
MC
Rafa Cabrera-Bello
$6,900
DNP
T41
DNP
MC
T52
Ryan Moore
$6,900
DNP
T33
T13
MC
T48
Brandt Snedeker
$6,800
MC
DNP
DNP
DNP
DNP
Max Homa
$6,800
MC
T37
DNP
DNP
DNP
Patrick Rodgers
$6,800
MC
DNP
T13
T67
MC
Chez Reavie
$6,700
T17
DNP
DNP
DNP
MC
Emiliano Grillo
$6,700
MC
T9
T23
T40
T11
Mark Hubbard
$6,700
W/D
DNP
DNP
DNP
MC
Zach Johnson
$6,700
T31
DNP
T40
T40
DNP
Bud Cauley
$6,600
MC
T9
MC
T25
T38
Charles Howell, III
$6,600
MC
MC
T65
DNP
T48
Brian Stuard
$6,500
MC
T33
DNP
T52
DNP
Jason Dufner
$6,500
T56
T7
MC
1st
T33
Charl Schwartzel
$6,300
MC
DNP
DNP
T35
T11

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com