Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Fantasy Golf: Shell Houston Open Preview

I love it when good things happen to good people especially when the latter is me. After changing my pick for the Match Play at the last minute from Rory McIlroy to Thomas Pieters, I slogged through the weekend buoyed solely by the fact that I had at least not wasted Rory in a week when he essentially missed the cut. My "happiness" was, however, tempered by the fact that I had picked Jon Rahm in every side bet I made and Dustin Johnson in some of them and they spent the whole tournament on a collision course for the final while I lived in the past and lamented the fact that Pieters didn't make it out of the group stage. This led to the following Sunday morning tirade where I channeled the warden from The Shawshank Redemption:

"NO I DON'T WANT FUCKING WAFFLES FOR BREAKFAST!!! DON'T YOU UNDERSTAND THAT I PICKED A BELGIAN GUY IN FANTASY GOLF THIS WEEK AND HE FAILED ME AND WAFFLES ARE JUST A CRUEL REMINDER OF THAT?!? WHY DOESN'T ANYBODY AROUND HERE GET ME?!?" (Not really but that was certainly going on inside my head along with a lot of imaginary and highly satisfying property damage).


"I've been researching this pick
for like forty-five minutes and
three cups of coffee."
Then I went to work on Monday and, as part of my morning ritual designed to postpone the accomplishment of anything productive, I logged onto my one and done league to make my pick which I always do first thing (before changing my mind a dozen times) and lo and behold, there was Jon Rahm's name next to mine along with his $1,045,000 in Match Play winnings. THAT'S RIGHT BITCHES!!! I'M A GODDAMN GENIUS!!! It turns-out I switched from McIlroy to Pieters to Rahm which is awesome except that I have absolutely no recollection of doing it which is not awesome considering I was sober at the time.      

Screw it. However it happened, I moved up from 24th to 9th and I'm now just over $1M out of the lead as apparently everyone else has also sucked this year. Not to mention, I still have seven of the top eight players in the world on my bench including D.J. so I have perfectly repositioned myself to fuck this season up all over again. 

And that effort starts this week in Houston where perennial top ten machine and winningaphobic Charles Howell, III appears to be the prudent play. I don't want to gamble on a marquee guy because the last one to win here was Phil Mickelson in 2011 and before that it was Adam Scott in 2007. Howell is coming off a solid showing in Austin and his last two finishes in Houston are T7th and T5th. If I do decide to make a last minute switcheroo (which is likely), it would be to either Rafa Cabrera Bello or Russell Henley. 

If you want to make a big splash, I'd save Rahm and go with Henrik Stenson or Rickie Fowler. That was a ton of golf for Rahm last week and he looked a tad beleaguered against D.J. The last thing you want to be doing now is starting Rahm under potential missed cut circumstances. That's a cocktail fork to the eye situation that needs to be avoided at all costs.

Dropped the ball on the Texas
theme last week. Not making
that mistake again.
The One and Done Pick: Charles Howell, III

The DraftKings Top Ten

Jordan Spieth: $12,000
Henrik Stenson: $10,400
Rickie Fowler: $10,000
Russell Henley: $8,700
Charles Howell, III: $8,500
Rafa Cabrera Bello: $7,900
Patrick Reed: $7,700
Cameron Tringale: $7,400
Chris Stroud: $6,900
Johnson Wagner: $6,500  

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