Tuesday, January 5, 2016

Fantasy Golf: The Hyundai Preview

Three things you should probably know before following my advice this week: (1) Last year my pick was Kevin Streelman who finished tied for 22nd out of a field of 33; (2) In 2014 my pick was Gary Woodland who finished tied for 13th out of a field of 30; and (3) In 2013 my pick was Scott Piercy who also finished tied for 13th out of a field of 30. Clearly this tournament has my number or I don't have its number or I have the wrong number or it gave me the wrong number to get rid of me at a bar. Whatever it is, it ain't working so this year we're going to try something new. (If you're still reading after the phrase "my pick was Kevin Streelman," thank you for your patience).

The previous FGR strategy for picking this event could be described as "designed cowardice" because we would intentionally use a player who we honestly had little faith in because we were more worried about burning a quality guy we might want to use later in the year. As noted above, the results that strategy has yielded have been the real golf equivalent of aiming away from the trees on the right and hooking it into the pond two fairways over on the left a/k/a 2015 Tiger Woods. 

So this year, we're aiming straight down the middle, closing our eyes and swinging as hard as we can with Dustin Johnson. He won this thing back in 2013 and seems to have righted his mental ship with a tie for 5th at the HSBC back in November. This pick will have the added benefit of making D.J. unavailable to us for the majors which is right where you want him. Our sleeper pick is Scott Piercy because there must've been some reason we liked him back in 2013 and doggonit, that's good enough for us.

In addition to the typical fantasy golf bullshit (TFGB), the 2016 version of the Fantasy Golf Report will also provide, at no extra charge, a list of value rankings in case you want to use this information for purposes that are beyond recreational.* These are the players I would be most likely to incorporate into a six man roster if a fictional salary cap was involved. If you do decide to travel down that highway of sin and risk the wrath of the New York Attorney General, always remember the golden rule that you must build at least one roster around Jordan Spieth (you did NOT hear that from me . . . shit, I've already said too much . . . I was never here).        

The Hyundai Odds


Ah Hawaii, the land of ten
thousand lakes . . . or something.
1. Jordan Spieth - 4/1
2. Jason Day - 11/2
3. Dustin Johnson - 7/1
4. Bubba Watson - 8/1
5. Patrick Reed - 10/1
6. Rickie Fowler - 11/1
7. Zach Johnson - 20/1
8. Brooks Koepka - 20/1
9. Justin Thomas - 22/1
10. Kevin Kisner - 25/1

The FGR Value Rankings

1. Dustin Johnson - 7/1
2. Jordan Spieth - 4/1
3. Zach Johnson - 20/1
4. Jimmy Walker - 35/1
5. Scott Piercy - 60/1
6. Bill Haas - 66/1  
7. Emiliano Grillo - 40/1
8. Steven Bowditch - 150/1
9. Chris Kirk - 66/1
10. Justin Thomas - 22/1

The FGR One and Done Pick: Dustin Johnson


The FGR Sleeper Pick: Scott Piercy

Footnote

* Not that we advocate or in any way support that type of imprudent behavior which is why we're only providing odds. You'll have to make the conversion to salary cap dollars on your own. If you can't figure-out how to do that, I would suggest a hobby that's less addictive and where the deck isn't as stacked against you like Keno or crystal meth.

Email the Fantasy Golf Report at fgr@fantasygolfreport.com.